**Incumbent Chou Chun-mi holds a commanding position in the 2026 Pingtung County magistrate race due to her established record since winning the seat in 2022 as the county’s first elected female magistrate.** The Democratic Progressive Party formally nominated her for re-election in February 2026, reinforcing party unity ahead of the November vote. Kuomintang nominee Su Ching-chuan, a former legislator selected by his party earlier in 2026, serves as the primary challenger but faces structural headwinds typical for the opposition in this southern county. Trader pricing reflects these dynamics, with Chou’s incumbency advantage, prior electoral margin, and local party infrastructure outweighing opposition efforts to date. No major late-breaking developments have altered the contest in recent months, leaving the implied probabilities anchored to baseline factors such as name recognition, turnout patterns, and historical DPP performance in Pingtung.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоНОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 июн. 2027 г.
Чоу Чунь-ми
87%
Су Чин-чюань
15%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 июн. 2027 г.
Чоу Чунь-ми
$1,366 Объем
87%
Су Чин-чюань
$1,537 Объем
15%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Pingtung County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).**Incumbent Chou Chun-mi holds a commanding position in the 2026 Pingtung County magistrate race due to her established record since winning the seat in 2022 as the county’s first elected female magistrate.** The Democratic Progressive Party formally nominated her for re-election in February 2026, reinforcing party unity ahead of the November vote. Kuomintang nominee Su Ching-chuan, a former legislator selected by his party earlier in 2026, serves as the primary challenger but faces structural headwinds typical for the opposition in this southern county. Trader pricing reflects these dynamics, with Chou’s incumbency advantage, prior electoral margin, and local party infrastructure outweighing opposition efforts to date. No major late-breaking developments have altered the contest in recent months, leaving the implied probabilities anchored to baseline factors such as name recognition, turnout patterns, and historical DPP performance in Pingtung.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Pingtung County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Pingtung County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Открытие рынка: Aug 14, 2026, 9:01 AM ET
Объем
$2,903Дата окончания
28 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 14, 2026, 9:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Pingtung County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).**Incumbent Chou Chun-mi holds a commanding position in the 2026 Pingtung County magistrate race due to her established record since winning the seat in 2022 as the county’s first elected female magistrate.** The Democratic Progressive Party formally nominated her for re-election in February 2026, reinforcing party unity ahead of the November vote. Kuomintang nominee Su Ching-chuan, a former legislator selected by his party earlier in 2026, serves as the primary challenger but faces structural headwinds typical for the opposition in this southern county. Trader pricing reflects these dynamics, with Chou’s incumbency advantage, prior electoral margin, and local party infrastructure outweighing opposition efforts to date. No major late-breaking developments have altered the contest in recent months, leaving the implied probabilities anchored to baseline factors such as name recognition, turnout patterns, and historical DPP performance in Pingtung.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Pingtung County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Pingtung County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Объем
$2,903Дата окончания
28 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 14, 2026, 9:01 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Incumbent Chou Chun-mi holds a commanding position in the 2026 Pingtung County magistrate race due to her established record since winning the seat in 2022 as the county’s first elected female magistrate.** The Democratic Progressive Party formally nominated her for re-election in February 2026, reinforcing party unity ahead of the November vote. Kuomintang nominee Su Ching-chuan, a former legislator selected by his party earlier in 2026, serves as the primary challenger but faces structural headwinds typical for the opposition in this southern county. Trader pricing reflects these dynamics, with Chou’s incumbency advantage, prior electoral margin, and local party infrastructure outweighing opposition efforts to date. No major late-breaking developments have altered the contest in recent months, leaving the implied probabilities anchored to baseline factors such as name recognition, turnout patterns, and historical DPP performance in Pingtung.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы