The Penghu County Magistrate race remains closely contested ahead of the November 28, 2026, vote because traders see a fragmented field where the DPP incumbent faces multiple opposition challengers, including KMT nominee Chen Chen-chung and independents such as Wu Shu-chin. Recent party nominations and a July 2026 KMT rally have solidified the main contenders without resolving potential vote-splitting among non-DPP candidates, while the incumbent's March pledge to seek reelection and the DPP's delayed final selection have kept the race fluid. Historical patterns of competitive magistrate contests in this outlying county, combined with limited polling data this far out, support the current tight implied probabilities and highlight how candidate coordination, turnout in key townships, or late developments could shift the balance before election day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоЧэнь Чэнь-чжун 36%
У Шу-чин 29%
Чжоу Ни-ань 11%
Чэнь Цзинь-чюань 9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 июн. 2027 г.
Чэнь Чэнь-чжун
36%
У Шу-чин
29%
Чжоу Ни-ань
11%
Чэнь Цзинь-чюань
9%
Сюй Чжи-фу
8%
Е Чу-лин
10%
Чэнь Чэнь-чжун 36%
У Шу-чин 29%
Чжоу Ни-ань 11%
Чэнь Цзинь-чюань 9%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 июн. 2027 г.
Чэнь Чэнь-чжун
$80 Объем
36%
У Шу-чин
$60 Объем
29%
Чжоу Ни-ань
$140 Объем
11%
Чэнь Цзинь-чюань
$74 Объем
9%
Сюй Чжи-фу
$347 Объем
8%
Е Чу-лин
$40 Объем
10%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Penghu County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).The Penghu County Magistrate race remains closely contested ahead of the November 28, 2026, vote because traders see a fragmented field where the DPP incumbent faces multiple opposition challengers, including KMT nominee Chen Chen-chung and independents such as Wu Shu-chin. Recent party nominations and a July 2026 KMT rally have solidified the main contenders without resolving potential vote-splitting among non-DPP candidates, while the incumbent's March pledge to seek reelection and the DPP's delayed final selection have kept the race fluid. Historical patterns of competitive magistrate contests in this outlying county, combined with limited polling data this far out, support the current tight implied probabilities and highlight how candidate coordination, turnout in key townships, or late developments could shift the balance before election day.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Penghu County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Penghu County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Открытие рынка: Aug 14, 2026, 9:03 AM ET
Объем
$741Дата окончания
28 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 14, 2026, 9:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Penghu County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).The Penghu County Magistrate race remains closely contested ahead of the November 28, 2026, vote because traders see a fragmented field where the DPP incumbent faces multiple opposition challengers, including KMT nominee Chen Chen-chung and independents such as Wu Shu-chin. Recent party nominations and a July 2026 KMT rally have solidified the main contenders without resolving potential vote-splitting among non-DPP candidates, while the incumbent's March pledge to seek reelection and the DPP's delayed final selection have kept the race fluid. Historical patterns of competitive magistrate contests in this outlying county, combined with limited polling data this far out, support the current tight implied probabilities and highlight how candidate coordination, turnout in key townships, or late developments could shift the balance before election day.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Penghu County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Penghu County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Объем
$741Дата окончания
28 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 14, 2026, 9:03 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Penghu County Magistrate race remains closely contested ahead of the November 28, 2026, vote because traders see a fragmented field where the DPP incumbent faces multiple opposition challengers, including KMT nominee Chen Chen-chung and independents such as Wu Shu-chin. Recent party nominations and a July 2026 KMT rally have solidified the main contenders without resolving potential vote-splitting among non-DPP candidates, while the incumbent's March pledge to seek reelection and the DPP's delayed final selection have kept the race fluid. Historical patterns of competitive magistrate contests in this outlying county, combined with limited polling data this far out, support the current tight implied probabilities and highlight how candidate coordination, turnout in key townships, or late developments could shift the balance before election day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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