Skip to main content
icon for Победитель выборов магистрата округа Тайдун
Политика·Тайвань

Победитель выборов магистрата округа Тайдун

icon for Победитель выборов магистрата округа Тайдун
Политика·Тайвань

Победитель выборов магистрата округа Тайдун

У Сю-хуа 69%

Чэнь Ин 19%

Ли У Инчжи 9%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

У Сю-хуа 69%

Чэнь Ин 19%

Ли У Инчжи 9%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ
icon for У Сю-хуа

У Сю-хуа

$350 Объем

69%

icon for Чэнь Ин

Чэнь Ин

$242 Объем

19%

icon for Ли У Инчжи

Ли У Инчжи

$164 Объем

9%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Taitung County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Wu Hsiu-hua, the Kuomintang (KMT) nominee and Taitung County Council speaker, leads the market at 69% as the designated successor to term-limited KMT incumbent Yao Ching-ling in the November 28, 2026, local election. The Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) selected Chen Ying as its candidate, positioning the race primarily between these two major-party contenders after reports indicated potential independent Liu Chao-hao had stepped back. Wu's established local profile and the KMT's long hold on the county office underpin trader consensus, while Chen Ying sits at 20.5% and other named or unnamed entrants remain at single-digit or flat probabilities. No major new developments in the past month have shifted positioning ahead of candidate registration later this summer.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Taitung County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Объем
$757
Дата окончания
28 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 14, 2026, 9:02 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Taitung County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Taitung County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Wu Hsiu-hua, the Kuomintang (KMT) nominee and Taitung County Council speaker, leads the market at 69% as the designated successor to term-limited KMT incumbent Yao Ching-ling in the November 28, 2026, local election. The Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) selected Chen Ying as its candidate, positioning the race primarily between these two major-party contenders after reports indicated potential independent Liu Chao-hao had stepped back. Wu's established local profile and the KMT's long hold on the county office underpin trader consensus, while Chen Ying sits at 20.5% and other named or unnamed entrants remain at single-digit or flat probabilities. No major new developments in the past month have shifted positioning ahead of candidate registration later this summer.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Taitung County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Объем
$757
Дата окончания
28 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 14, 2026, 9:02 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Taitung County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).

Связанные

icon for Выиграет ли Чоу Чунь-ми следующие выборы магистрата уезда Пиндун?

Выиграет ли Чоу Чунь-ми следующие выборы магистрата уезда Пиндун?

87%
Да
icon for Выиграет ли Цай И-юй следующие выборы магистрата уезда Цзяи?

Выиграет ли Цай И-юй следующие выборы магистрата уезда Цзяи?

87%
Да
icon for Выиграет ли Хуан Сюфан следующие выборы магистрата уезда Чжанхуа?

Выиграет ли Хуан Сюфан следующие выборы магистрата уезда Чжанхуа?

17%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Победитель выборов магистрата округа Тайдун» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 3 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «У Сю-хуа» с 69%, за ним следует «Чэнь Ин» с 19%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 69¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 69%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Победитель выборов магистрата округа Тайдун» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Aug 14, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Победитель выборов магистрата округа Тайдун», просмотри 3 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Победитель выборов магистрата округа Тайдун» — «У Сю-хуа» с 69%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 69%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Чэнь Ин» с 19%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Победитель выборов магистрата округа Тайдун» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.