**Incumbent Republican Brian Jack faces Democrat Maura Keller in Georgia’s 3rd congressional district general election on November 3, 2026.** Jack, who won the seat with 66% in 2024, ran unopposed in the May 19 Republican primary, while Keller secured the Democratic nomination after defeating her primary opponent. The district’s strong Republican lean—reflected in its Solid R rating and historical margins—positions Jack to capture a clear majority on the first ballot under Georgia’s election rules, which require over 50% for an outright win or trigger a runoff between the top two vote-getters. No late developments or credible polling have emerged to suggest a competitive contest or significant vote split that would force a November runoff. Trader consensus at 93.5% on an outright winner aligns with the structural and historical factors favoring the incumbent in this low-competition race.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель первого тура выборов в Палату представителей GA-03?
Победитель первого тура выборов в Палату представителей GA-03?
Да
96% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Да
96% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-03 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-03 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-03 House election.**Incumbent Republican Brian Jack faces Democrat Maura Keller in Georgia’s 3rd congressional district general election on November 3, 2026.** Jack, who won the seat with 66% in 2024, ran unopposed in the May 19 Republican primary, while Keller secured the Democratic nomination after defeating her primary opponent. The district’s strong Republican lean—reflected in its Solid R rating and historical margins—positions Jack to capture a clear majority on the first ballot under Georgia’s election rules, which require over 50% for an outright win or trigger a runoff between the top two vote-getters. No late developments or credible polling have emerged to suggest a competitive contest or significant vote split that would force a November runoff. Trader consensus at 93.5% on an outright winner aligns with the structural and historical factors favoring the incumbent in this low-competition race.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-03 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-03 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-03 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-03 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-03 House election.
Открытие рынка: Aug 14, 2026, 5:20 PM ET
Объем
$126Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 14, 2026, 5:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-03 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-03 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-03 House election.**Incumbent Republican Brian Jack faces Democrat Maura Keller in Georgia’s 3rd congressional district general election on November 3, 2026.** Jack, who won the seat with 66% in 2024, ran unopposed in the May 19 Republican primary, while Keller secured the Democratic nomination after defeating her primary opponent. The district’s strong Republican lean—reflected in its Solid R rating and historical margins—positions Jack to capture a clear majority on the first ballot under Georgia’s election rules, which require over 50% for an outright win or trigger a runoff between the top two vote-getters. No late developments or credible polling have emerged to suggest a competitive contest or significant vote split that would force a November runoff. Trader consensus at 93.5% on an outright winner aligns with the structural and historical factors favoring the incumbent in this low-competition race.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-03 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-03 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-03 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-03 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-03 House election.
Объем
$126Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 14, 2026, 5:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Incumbent Republican Brian Jack faces Democrat Maura Keller in Georgia’s 3rd congressional district general election on November 3, 2026.** Jack, who won the seat with 66% in 2024, ran unopposed in the May 19 Republican primary, while Keller secured the Democratic nomination after defeating her primary opponent. The district’s strong Republican lean—reflected in its Solid R rating and historical margins—positions Jack to capture a clear majority on the first ballot under Georgia’s election rules, which require over 50% for an outright win or trigger a runoff between the top two vote-getters. No late developments or credible polling have emerged to suggest a competitive contest or significant vote split that would force a November runoff. Trader consensus at 93.5% on an outright winner aligns with the structural and historical factors favoring the incumbent in this low-competition race.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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