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icon for Проголосовать за победителя в финальном раунде первичных выборов в Сенат Аляски
Выборы·Выборы в США

Проголосовать за победителя в финальном раунде первичных выборов в Сенат Аляски

icon for Проголосовать за победителя в финальном раунде первичных выборов в Сенат Аляски
Выборы·Выборы в США

Проголосовать за победителя в финальном раунде первичных выборов в Сенат Аляски

Мэри Пелтола 64%

Сенатор Дэн С. Салливан 32.9%

Ричард Грейсон 1.6%

Хезер МакЭлвэйн <1%

Polymarket

$15,493 Объем

Мэри Пелтола 64%

Сенатор Дэн С. Салливан 32.9%

Ричард Грейсон 1.6%

Хезер МакЭлвэйн <1%

Polymarket

$15,493 Объем

Мэри Пелтола

$3,379 Объем

64%

Сенатор Дэн С. Салливан

$1,652 Объем

33%

Ричард Грейсон

$643 Объем

2%

Хезер МакЭлвэйн

$540 Объем

1%

Ширли Соусерман

$508 Объем

1%

Ричард Бенедикт Майерс

$545 Объем

1%

Дэвид Лесли

$2,773 Объем

1%

Дэн Дж. Салливан

$1,090 Объем

1%

Скотт Колхаас

$493 Объем

1%

Дастин Дарден

$599 Объем

<1%

Фред С. Граубергер

$625 Объем

<1%

Эрл Д. «Скип» Саутворт

$547 Объем

15%

Рис Робертс

$556 Объем

<1%

Кэрол Хафнер

$491 Объем

<1%

Джеральд Л. Хайкс

$502 Объем

<1%

Сид Хилл

$550 Объем

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of most votes in the final reported round of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate primary election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for August 18, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Senator from Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the Division of Elections. **In Alaska’s August 18, 2026 nonpartisan top-four primary, a crowded field of roughly 15–20 candidates—including incumbent Sen. Dan S. Sullivan (R), former Rep. Mary Peltola (D), a second Republican named Dan J. Sullivan, Dustin Darden, and numerous lesser-known contenders—makes the plurality vote leader highly uncertain, keeping market odds tightly clustered near even or low probabilities for any single name.** The recent Alaska Supreme Court ruling allowing the second Dan Sullivan on the ballot has amplified voter-confusion risks in a system where only the top four advance to the ranked-choice general, potentially splitting Republican-leaning votes while Peltola benefits from statewide name recognition after her prior wins. Incumbent Sullivan holds structural advantages in fundraising and party infrastructure, yet recent general-election polling shows Peltola competitive or ahead, underscoring the open primary’s volatility. Minor candidates face steep barriers from low visibility and limited resources. Trader consensus reflects this fragmentation: no candidate has consolidated broad support weeks out, and outcomes hinge on turnout, name-recognition effects, and any late endorsements or spending surges that could separate frontrunners before primary day.

This market will resolve according to the winner of most votes in the final reported round of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate primary election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for August 18, 2026.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Senator from Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the Division of Elections.
Объем
$15,493
Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 1, 2026, 4:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of most votes in the final reported round of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate primary election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for August 18, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Senator from Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the Division of Elections.
This market will resolve according to the winner of most votes in the final reported round of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate primary election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for August 18, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Senator from Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the Division of Elections. **In Alaska’s August 18, 2026 nonpartisan top-four primary, a crowded field of roughly 15–20 candidates—including incumbent Sen. Dan S. Sullivan (R), former Rep. Mary Peltola (D), a second Republican named Dan J. Sullivan, Dustin Darden, and numerous lesser-known contenders—makes the plurality vote leader highly uncertain, keeping market odds tightly clustered near even or low probabilities for any single name.** The recent Alaska Supreme Court ruling allowing the second Dan Sullivan on the ballot has amplified voter-confusion risks in a system where only the top four advance to the ranked-choice general, potentially splitting Republican-leaning votes while Peltola benefits from statewide name recognition after her prior wins. Incumbent Sullivan holds structural advantages in fundraising and party infrastructure, yet recent general-election polling shows Peltola competitive or ahead, underscoring the open primary’s volatility. Minor candidates face steep barriers from low visibility and limited resources. Trader consensus reflects this fragmentation: no candidate has consolidated broad support weeks out, and outcomes hinge on turnout, name-recognition effects, and any late endorsements or spending surges that could separate frontrunners before primary day.

This market will resolve according to the winner of most votes in the final reported round of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate primary election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for August 18, 2026.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Senator from Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the Division of Elections.
Объем
$15,493
Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 1, 2026, 4:48 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the winner of most votes in the final reported round of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate primary election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for August 18, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Senator from Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the Division of Elections.

Связанные

icon for Выиграет ли Мэри Пэлтола гонку за Сенат Аляски в 2026 году?

Выиграет ли Мэри Пэлтола гонку за Сенат Аляски в 2026 году?

60%
Да
icon for Will Nick Begich III advance from the AK-AL primary election?

Will Nick Begich III advance from the AK-AL primary election?

99%
icon for Выиграет ли Том Бегич выборы губернатора Аляски в 2026 году?

Выиграет ли Том Бегич выборы губернатора Аляски в 2026 году?

35%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Проголосовать за победителя в финальном раунде первичных выборов в Сенат Аляски» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 16 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Мэри Пелтола» с 64%, за ним следует «Сенатор Дэн С. Салливан» с 33%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 64¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 64%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Проголосовать за победителя в финальном раунде первичных выборов в Сенат Аляски» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $15.5K с момента запуска рынка Jul 1, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Проголосовать за победителя в финальном раунде первичных выборов в Сенат Аляски», просмотри 16 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Проголосовать за победителя в финальном раунде первичных выборов в Сенат Аляски» — «Мэри Пелтола» с 64%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 64%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Сенатор Дэн С. Салливан» с 33%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Проголосовать за победителя в финальном раунде первичных выборов в Сенат Аляски» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.