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Политика·Выборы в США

Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory

icon for Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory
Политика·Выборы в США

Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory

Эль-Сайед <5% 27%

Эл-Сайед 5–10% 22%

Эль-Сайед 10–15% 11%

Стивенс <5% 10%

Polymarket

$17,853 Объем

Эль-Сайед <5% 27%

Эл-Сайед 5–10% 22%

Эль-Сайед 10–15% 11%

Стивенс <5% 10%

Polymarket

$17,853 Объем

El-Sayed 25%+

$334 Объем

4%

Эль-Сайед 20–25%

$443 Объем

5%

Эль-Сайед 15–20%

$3,546 Объем

3%

Эль-Сайед 10–15%

$4,410 Объем

11%

Эл-Сайед 5–10%

$4,621 Объем

22%

Эль-Сайед <5%

$1,259 Объем

27%

Стивенс <5%

$1,421 Объем

10%

Стивенс 5–10%

$722 Объем

8%

Стивенс 10–15%

$804 Объем

4%

Стивенс 15%+

$293 Объем

2%

Primary elections in Michigan are scheduled to be held on August 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the Michigan Democratic Senate Primary. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Michigan, such as official statewide results published by the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.The July 5 suspension of Mallory McMorrow’s campaign has narrowed the August 4 Democratic primary to a head-to-head contest between progressive Abdul El-Sayed and moderate Rep. Haley Stevens. El-Sayed holds a polling edge and key progressive endorsements, including from Sen. Bernie Sanders and Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, while Stevens benefits from establishment backing and a substantial advertising advantage linked in part to pro-Israel groups. Policy contrasts on healthcare, immigration, and unconditional aid to Israel remain central in a state with a large Arab American electorate, and electability debates in the general election against the GOP nominee add uncertainty. With the primary weeks away and no dominant polling or spending breakout, trader pricing reflects a closely contested race in which modest shifts in turnout or late momentum could alter the margin.

Primary elections in Michigan are scheduled to be held on August 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the Michigan Democratic Senate Primary.

For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.

If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.

If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Michigan, such as official statewide results published by the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Объем
$17,853
Дата окончания
4 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Primary elections in Michigan are scheduled to be held on August 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the Michigan Democratic Senate Primary. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Michigan, such as official statewide results published by the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Primary elections in Michigan are scheduled to be held on August 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the Michigan Democratic Senate Primary. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Michigan, such as official statewide results published by the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.The July 5 suspension of Mallory McMorrow’s campaign has narrowed the August 4 Democratic primary to a head-to-head contest between progressive Abdul El-Sayed and moderate Rep. Haley Stevens. El-Sayed holds a polling edge and key progressive endorsements, including from Sen. Bernie Sanders and Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, while Stevens benefits from establishment backing and a substantial advertising advantage linked in part to pro-Israel groups. Policy contrasts on healthcare, immigration, and unconditional aid to Israel remain central in a state with a large Arab American electorate, and electability debates in the general election against the GOP nominee add uncertainty. With the primary weeks away and no dominant polling or spending breakout, trader pricing reflects a closely contested race in which modest shifts in turnout or late momentum could alter the margin.

Primary elections in Michigan are scheduled to be held on August 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the Michigan Democratic Senate Primary.

For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.

If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.

If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Michigan, such as official statewide results published by the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Объем
$17,853
Дата окончания
4 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 6, 2026, 6:07 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Primary elections in Michigan are scheduled to be held on August 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the Michigan Democratic Senate Primary. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Michigan, such as official statewide results published by the Michigan Secretary of State (https://www.michigan.gov/sos); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

Связанные

icon for Победит ли Пегги Флэнаган на праймериз Демократической партии в Сенат Миннесоты с преимуществом в 15–20%?

Победит ли Пегги Флэнаган на праймериз Демократической партии в Сенат Миннесоты с преимуществом в 15–20%?

43%
Да
icon for Выиграет ли Мелат Кирос праймериз демократов по CO-01 с перевесом в 10–15%?

Выиграет ли Мелат Кирос праймериз демократов по CO-01 с перевесом в 10–15%?

99%
Да
icon for Победит ли Клэр Вальдес на праймериз Демократической партии по округу NY-07 с преимуществом более 15%?

Победит ли Клэр Вальдес на праймериз Демократической партии по округу NY-07 с преимуществом более 15%?

99%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 10 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Эль-Сайед <5%» с 27%, за ним следует «Эл-Сайед 5–10%» с 22%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 27¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 27%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $17.9K с момента запуска рынка Jul 6, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory», просмотри 10 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Michigan Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory» — «Эль-Сайед <5%» с 27%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 27%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Эл-Сайед 5–10%» с 22%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

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