Recent polling from multiple outlets shows the Texas Senate race between Democratic nominee James Talarico and Republican nominee Ken Paxton remaining statistically tied or with narrow leads for Talarico through early August 2026, reflecting soft Republican support after Paxton's primary victory over incumbent John Cornyn. Talarico's substantial fundraising edge and strength among independents and moderates have offset Texas's historical Republican advantage in Senate contests, while Paxton's nomination solidified conservative backing but left some GOP turnout questions. Outside spending has heavily targeted Paxton, contributing to the tight trader consensus near 50 percent implied probability for each candidate. Key factors that could create separation include turnout patterns among non-college voters, any late shifts in independent support, or major campaign events before November 3.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Сенат Техаса
Победитель выборов в Сенат Техаса
$729,283 Объем
$729,283 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Джеймс Таларико (Д)
52%
Кен Пакстон (Р)
48%
$729,283 Объем
$729,283 Объем
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Джеймс Таларико (Д)
$347,040 Объем
52%
Кен Пакстон (Р)
$382,243 Объем
48%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polling from multiple outlets shows the Texas Senate race between Democratic nominee James Talarico and Republican nominee Ken Paxton remaining statistically tied or with narrow leads for Talarico through early August 2026, reflecting soft Republican support after Paxton's primary victory over incumbent John Cornyn. Talarico's substantial fundraising edge and strength among independents and moderates have offset Texas's historical Republican advantage in Senate contests, while Paxton's nomination solidified conservative backing but left some GOP turnout questions. Outside spending has heavily targeted Paxton, contributing to the tight trader consensus near 50 percent implied probability for each candidate. Key factors that could create separation include turnout patterns among non-college voters, any late shifts in independent support, or major campaign events before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Открытие рынка: Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ET
Объем
$729,283Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polling from multiple outlets shows the Texas Senate race between Democratic nominee James Talarico and Republican nominee Ken Paxton remaining statistically tied or with narrow leads for Talarico through early August 2026, reflecting soft Republican support after Paxton's primary victory over incumbent John Cornyn. Talarico's substantial fundraising edge and strength among independents and moderates have offset Texas's historical Republican advantage in Senate contests, while Paxton's nomination solidified conservative backing but left some GOP turnout questions. Outside spending has heavily targeted Paxton, contributing to the tight trader consensus near 50 percent implied probability for each candidate. Key factors that could create separation include turnout patterns among non-college voters, any late shifts in independent support, or major campaign events before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Texas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Объем
$729,283Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Oct 13, 2025, 4:57 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling from multiple outlets shows the Texas Senate race between Democratic nominee James Talarico and Republican nominee Ken Paxton remaining statistically tied or with narrow leads for Talarico through early August 2026, reflecting soft Republican support after Paxton's primary victory over incumbent John Cornyn. Talarico's substantial fundraising edge and strength among independents and moderates have offset Texas's historical Republican advantage in Senate contests, while Paxton's nomination solidified conservative backing but left some GOP turnout questions. Outside spending has heavily targeted Paxton, contributing to the tight trader consensus near 50 percent implied probability for each candidate. Key factors that could create separation include turnout patterns among non-college voters, any late shifts in independent support, or major campaign events before November 3.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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