United Russia's commanding position in the 2026 State Duma election stems from its control of single-member districts, administrative resources, and consistent polling leads near 40-50 percent, reinforced by the Kremlin's oversight of the managed electoral system. Recent party convention approvals of a federal list featuring figures such as Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov and Moscow Mayor Sergey Sobyanin, along with President Putin's public endorsement, have underscored organizational continuity without notable disruptions. Systemic opposition parties including New People, LDPR, and KPRF remain limited by structural barriers and lower support levels, with no major developments in the past month altering the consensus on seat distribution. Trader probabilities reflect these institutional and polling dynamics ahead of the September vote.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоКакая партия получит наибольшее количество мест на парламентских выборах в России?
Какая партия получит наибольшее количество мест на парламентских выборах в России?
Единая Россия (ЕР) 74%
Новые люди (NL) 18.4%
Либерально-демократическая партия России (ЛДПР) 5.6%
Коммунистическая партия Российской Федерации (КПРФ) 1.4%
$20,680,249 Объем
$20,680,249 Объем
29 сент. 2026 г.
Единая Россия (ЕР)
74%
Новые люди (NL)
18%
Либерально-демократическая партия России (ЛДПР)
6%
Коммунистическая партия Российской Федерации (КПРФ)
1%
Родина
<1%
Справедливая Россия — За правду (СРЗП)
<1%
Яблоко
<1%
Гражданская платформа (ГП)
<1%
Единая Россия (ЕР) 74%
Новые люди (NL) 18.4%
Либерально-демократическая партия России (ЛДПР) 5.6%
Коммунистическая партия Российской Федерации (КПРФ) 1.4%
$20,680,249 Объем
$20,680,249 Объем
29 сент. 2026 г.
Единая Россия (ЕР)
$7,382,611 Объем
74%
Новые люди (NL)
$2,152,350 Объем
18%
Либерально-демократическая партия России (ЛДПР)
$3,238,519 Объем
6%
Коммунистическая партия Российской Федерации (КПРФ)
$1,356,840 Объем
1%
Родина
$2,492,355 Объем
<1%
Справедливая Россия — За правду (СРЗП)
$1,556,685 Объем
<1%
Яблоко
$1,225,827 Объем
<1%
Гражданская платформа (ГП)
$1,275,063 Объем
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: Per market rules, the market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the listed party “compared to [the number of seats they held] before the election,” specifically meaning the party’s seat count in the outgoing State Duma as of 12:00 PM Moscow time on the calendar day immediately preceding the official scheduled date of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election, as determined by a consensus of credible reporting; if there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on Russian government sources such as the State Duma or its official media outlets (e.g., https://dumatv.ru/fractions).United Russia's commanding position in the 2026 State Duma election stems from its control of single-member districts, administrative resources, and consistent polling leads near 40-50 percent, reinforced by the Kremlin's oversight of the managed electoral system. Recent party convention approvals of a federal list featuring figures such as Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov and Moscow Mayor Sergey Sobyanin, along with President Putin's public endorsement, have underscored organizational continuity without notable disruptions. Systemic opposition parties including New People, LDPR, and KPRF remain limited by structural barriers and lower support levels, with no major developments in the past month altering the consensus on seat distribution. Trader probabilities reflect these institutional and polling dynamics ahead of the September vote.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Открытие рынка: Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
Объем
$20,680,249Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: Per market rules, the market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the listed party “compared to [the number of seats they held] before the election,” specifically meaning the party’s seat count in the outgoing State Duma as of 12:00 PM Moscow time on the calendar day immediately preceding the official scheduled date of the 2026 Russian parliamentary election, as determined by a consensus of credible reporting; if there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on Russian government sources such as the State Duma or its official media outlets (e.g., https://dumatv.ru/fractions).United Russia's commanding position in the 2026 State Duma election stems from its control of single-member districts, administrative resources, and consistent polling leads near 40-50 percent, reinforced by the Kremlin's oversight of the managed electoral system. Recent party convention approvals of a federal list featuring figures such as Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov and Moscow Mayor Sergey Sobyanin, along with President Putin's public endorsement, have underscored organizational continuity without notable disruptions. Systemic opposition parties including New People, LDPR, and KPRF remain limited by structural barriers and lower support levels, with no major developments in the past month altering the consensus on seat distribution. Trader probabilities reflect these institutional and polling dynamics ahead of the September vote.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Объем
$20,680,249Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia's commanding position in the 2026 State Duma election stems from its control of single-member districts, administrative resources, and consistent polling leads near 40-50 percent, reinforced by the Kremlin's oversight of the managed electoral system. Recent party convention approvals of a federal list featuring figures such as Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov and Moscow Mayor Sergey Sobyanin, along with President Putin's public endorsement, have underscored organizational continuity without notable disruptions. Systemic opposition parties including New People, LDPR, and KPRF remain limited by structural barriers and lower support levels, with no major developments in the past month altering the consensus on seat distribution. Trader probabilities reflect these institutional and polling dynamics ahead of the September vote.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
Выиграет ли «Единая Россия» (ЕР) наибольшее количество мест на следующих выборах в Государственную думу?
98%
Да
Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
38%
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
82%
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы