United Russia maintains its commanding lead in trader consensus for the September 2026 State Duma election due to its dominance of single-member districts, extensive administrative resources, and the exclusion of unsanctioned opposition parties. The party has secured consistent majorities in recent regional votes, including the September 2025 contests, and benefits from polling leads that place its support well ahead of systemic rivals such as the CPRF and LDPR. Kremlin preparations, including the June 2026 decree setting the three-day voting window and oversight of candidate registration, reinforce structural advantages. While war-related developments or shifts in public sentiment could theoretically alter second-place finishes among permitted parties, the combination of institutional control and the five-percent threshold makes any challenge to United Russia’s plurality of seats highly improbable before the September 18–20 vote.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоЕдиная Россия (ЕР) 98.6%
Новые люди (НЛ) <1%
Коммунистическая партия Российской Федерации (КПРФ) <1%
Либерально-демократическая партия России (ЛДПР) <1%
$3,235,258 Объем
$3,235,258 Объем
29 сент. 2026 г.
Единая Россия (ЕР)
99%
Новые люди (НЛ)
1%
Коммунистическая партия Российской Федерации (КПРФ)
1%
Либерально-демократическая партия России (ЛДПР)
<1%
Яблоко
<1%
Справедливая Россия – За правду (СРЗП)
<1%
Родина
<1%
Гражданская платформа (ГП)
<1%
Единая Россия (ЕР) 98.6%
Новые люди (НЛ) <1%
Коммунистическая партия Российской Федерации (КПРФ) <1%
Либерально-демократическая партия России (ЛДПР) <1%
$3,235,258 Объем
$3,235,258 Объем
29 сент. 2026 г.
Единая Россия (ЕР)
$818,216 Объем
99%
Новые люди (НЛ)
$147,517 Объем
1%
Коммунистическая партия Российской Федерации (КПРФ)
$171,706 Объем
1%
Либерально-демократическая партия России (ЛДПР)
$210,684 Объем
<1%
Яблоко
$41,398 Объем
<1%
Справедливая Россия – За правду (СРЗП)
$739,623 Объем
<1%
Родина
$502,708 Объем
<1%
Гражданская платформа (ГП)
$603,407 Объем
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia maintains its commanding lead in trader consensus for the September 2026 State Duma election due to its dominance of single-member districts, extensive administrative resources, and the exclusion of unsanctioned opposition parties. The party has secured consistent majorities in recent regional votes, including the September 2025 contests, and benefits from polling leads that place its support well ahead of systemic rivals such as the CPRF and LDPR. Kremlin preparations, including the June 2026 decree setting the three-day voting window and oversight of candidate registration, reinforce structural advantages. While war-related developments or shifts in public sentiment could theoretically alter second-place finishes among permitted parties, the combination of institutional control and the five-percent threshold makes any challenge to United Russia’s plurality of seats highly improbable before the September 18–20 vote.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Открытие рынка: Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ET
Объем
$3,235,258Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.United Russia maintains its commanding lead in trader consensus for the September 2026 State Duma election due to its dominance of single-member districts, extensive administrative resources, and the exclusion of unsanctioned opposition parties. The party has secured consistent majorities in recent regional votes, including the September 2025 contests, and benefits from polling leads that place its support well ahead of systemic rivals such as the CPRF and LDPR. Kremlin preparations, including the June 2026 decree setting the three-day voting window and oversight of candidate registration, reinforce structural advantages. While war-related developments or shifts in public sentiment could theoretically alter second-place finishes among permitted parties, the combination of institutional control and the five-percent threshold makes any challenge to United Russia’s plurality of seats highly improbable before the September 18–20 vote.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Объем
$3,235,258Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 7, 2026, 4:20 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia maintains its commanding lead in trader consensus for the September 2026 State Duma election due to its dominance of single-member districts, extensive administrative resources, and the exclusion of unsanctioned opposition parties. The party has secured consistent majorities in recent regional votes, including the September 2025 contests, and benefits from polling leads that place its support well ahead of systemic rivals such as the CPRF and LDPR. Kremlin preparations, including the June 2026 decree setting the three-day voting window and oversight of candidate registration, reinforce structural advantages. While war-related developments or shifts in public sentiment could theoretically alter second-place finishes among permitted parties, the combination of institutional control and the five-percent threshold makes any challenge to United Russia’s plurality of seats highly improbable before the September 18–20 vote.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
38%
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
82%
Получит ли «Единая Россия» (ЕР) наибольшее количество мест на следующих выборах в Государственную Думу?
73%
Да
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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