Incumbent Republican Phil Scott's strong popularity and expected reelection margin in the November 3 general election have kept projected voter turnout tightly clustered around historical off-year levels near 280,000. The August 11 primaries, which saw Amanda Janoo narrowly secure the Democratic nomination, produced modest participation consistent with Vermont's recent cycles. With limited statewide competition and no major ballot measures or controversies dominating headlines, trader consensus reflects uncertainty over baseline mobilization, early and absentee voting rates, and November weather impacts rather than any surge from a close contest.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено250К–275К 45%
300К–325К 45%
350 тыс.+ 45%
225K-250K 44%
<225 тыс.
44%
225K-250K
44%
250К–275К
45%
275К-300К
43%
300К–325К
45%
325К-350К
44%
350 тыс.+
45%
250К–275К 45%
300К–325К 45%
350 тыс.+ 45%
225K-250K 44%
<225 тыс.
44%
225K-250K
44%
250К–275К
45%
275К-300К
43%
300К–325К
45%
325К-350К
44%
350 тыс.+
45%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Aug 18, 2026, 10:27 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Vermont, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Republican Phil Scott's strong popularity and expected reelection margin in the November 3 general election have kept projected voter turnout tightly clustered around historical off-year levels near 280,000. The August 11 primaries, which saw Amanda Janoo narrowly secure the Democratic nomination, produced modest participation consistent with Vermont's recent cycles. With limited statewide competition and no major ballot measures or controversies dominating headlines, trader consensus reflects uncertainty over baseline mobilization, early and absentee voting rates, and November weather impacts rather than any surge from a close contest.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено



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