Recent polling trends from Russian survey organizations show New People maintaining momentum in some measurements around 10-13 percent support, positioning it ahead of the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia and the Communist Party of the Russian Federation in several readings, while other surveys place LDPR slightly higher. This variability, combined with the parties' distinct voter bases—New People's appeal among younger and regional voters versus LDPR's nationalist constituency and KPRF's traditional base—has kept probabilities for third place closely contested. Kremlin-aligned media emphasis and party-list approvals in recent months have further influenced positioning without decisive separation. Upcoming September voting procedures and any final administrative adjustments could still shift the order among these contenders.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоNew People (NL) 41%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 33%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 14%
Яблоко 1.4%
$57,289 Объем
$57,289 Объем

United Russia (ER)
1%

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
14%

A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
1%

Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
33%

New People (NL)
41%

Rodina
<1%

Civic Platform (GP)
<1%

Яблоко
1%
New People (NL) 41%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 33%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 14%
Яблоко 1.4%
$57,289 Объем
$57,289 Объем

United Russia (ER)
1%

Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
14%

A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
1%

Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
33%

New People (NL)
41%

Rodina
<1%

Civic Platform (GP)
<1%

Яблоко
1%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Открытие рынка: Apr 21, 2026, 3:42 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling trends from Russian survey organizations show New People maintaining momentum in some measurements around 10-13 percent support, positioning it ahead of the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia and the Communist Party of the Russian Federation in several readings, while other surveys place LDPR slightly higher. This variability, combined with the parties' distinct voter bases—New People's appeal among younger and regional voters versus LDPR's nationalist constituency and KPRF's traditional base—has kept probabilities for third place closely contested. Kremlin-aligned media emphasis and party-list approvals in recent months have further influenced positioning without decisive separation. Upcoming September voting procedures and any final administrative adjustments could still shift the order among these contenders.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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