Incumbent Toronto Mayor Olivia Chow holds an overwhelming trader consensus lead in the October 26, 2026 mayoral race due to her established name recognition, formal declaration in May 2026, and consistent polling edge as the sitting progressive officeholder. City Councillor Brad Bradford trails as the clearest challenger after gaining ground in summer surveys, while former federal MP Chris Alexander's July entry and other declared candidates register minimal support. Recent Liaison Strategies polling shows Chow at 47 percent against Bradford at 40 percent and Alexander at 10 percent, indicating a tightening contest ahead of the August 21 nomination deadline and the first major debate on housing and affordability. Market pricing reflects traders' assessment of structural advantages for the incumbent despite narrowing survey margins.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоOlivia Chow 85%
Brad Bradford 15%
Marco Mendicino 1.0%
John Tory <1%
$131,386 Объем
$131,386 Объем
Olivia Chow
85%
Brad Bradford
15%
Marco Mendicino
1%
John Tory
1%
Anthony Furey
<1%
Kevin Clarke
<1%
Ana Bailão
<1%
Michael Ford
<1%
Olivia Chow 85%
Brad Bradford 15%
Marco Mendicino 1.0%
John Tory <1%
$131,386 Объем
$131,386 Объем
Olivia Chow
85%
Brad Bradford
15%
Marco Mendicino
1%
John Tory
1%
Anthony Furey
<1%
Kevin Clarke
<1%
Ana Bailão
<1%
Michael Ford
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
Открытие рынка: Apr 1, 2026, 2:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Toronto Mayor Olivia Chow holds an overwhelming trader consensus lead in the October 26, 2026 mayoral race due to her established name recognition, formal declaration in May 2026, and consistent polling edge as the sitting progressive officeholder. City Councillor Brad Bradford trails as the clearest challenger after gaining ground in summer surveys, while former federal MP Chris Alexander's July entry and other declared candidates register minimal support. Recent Liaison Strategies polling shows Chow at 47 percent against Bradford at 40 percent and Alexander at 10 percent, indicating a tightening contest ahead of the August 21 nomination deadline and the first major debate on housing and affordability. Market pricing reflects traders' assessment of structural advantages for the incumbent despite narrowing survey margins.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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