United Russia enters the September 18–20, 2026 State Duma election holding roughly 310 seats and benefiting from established advantages in single-member districts, administrative mobilization, and the three-day voting format. Recent primaries and candidate list preparations, including a prominent role for Dmitry Medvedev, signal efforts to refresh the slate while preserving the constitutional majority threshold above 300 seats. Polling trends and historical results point to continued dominance in both proportional and majoritarian components, though economic pressures, turnout variability, and regional outcomes introduce modest uncertainty around the exact total. The market’s clustering around the 325–354 seat range reflects trader assessments of these structural edges and limited space for systemic opposition gains before election day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСколько мест получит «Единая Россия» на следующих выборах в законодательные органы РФ?
Сколько мест получит «Единая Россия» на следующих выборах в законодательные органы РФ?
325–339 35%
340–354 23%
310–324 18.8%
355+ 13%
$185,694 Объем
$185,694 Объем
19 сент. 2026 г.
<280
3%
280–294
4%
295–309
7%
310–324
19%
325–339
35%
340–354
23%
355+
13%
325–339 35%
340–354 23%
310–324 18.8%
355+ 13%
$185,694 Объем
$185,694 Объем
19 сент. 2026 г.
<280
$26,808 Объем
3%
280–294
$16,696 Объем
4%
295–309
$11,907 Объем
7%
310–324
$14,918 Объем
19%
325–339
$27,806 Объем
35%
340–354
$48,826 Объем
23%
355+
$38,731 Объем
13%
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia enters the September 18–20, 2026 State Duma election holding roughly 310 seats and benefiting from established advantages in single-member districts, administrative mobilization, and the three-day voting format. Recent primaries and candidate list preparations, including a prominent role for Dmitry Medvedev, signal efforts to refresh the slate while preserving the constitutional majority threshold above 300 seats. Polling trends and historical results point to continued dominance in both proportional and majoritarian components, though economic pressures, turnout variability, and regional outcomes introduce modest uncertainty around the exact total. The market’s clustering around the 325–354 seat range reflects trader assessments of these structural edges and limited space for systemic opposition gains before election day.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Открытие рынка: Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
Объем
$185,694Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia enters the September 18–20, 2026 State Duma election holding roughly 310 seats and benefiting from established advantages in single-member districts, administrative mobilization, and the three-day voting format. Recent primaries and candidate list preparations, including a prominent role for Dmitry Medvedev, signal efforts to refresh the slate while preserving the constitutional majority threshold above 300 seats. Polling trends and historical results point to continued dominance in both proportional and majoritarian components, though economic pressures, turnout variability, and regional outcomes introduce modest uncertainty around the exact total. The market’s clustering around the 325–354 seat range reflects trader assessments of these structural edges and limited space for systemic opposition gains before election day.
Legislative elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by United Russia in the State Duma as a result of the next Russian legislative election.
If results are not known definitively by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Объем
$185,694Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Jan 7, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia enters the September 18–20, 2026 State Duma election holding roughly 310 seats and benefiting from established advantages in single-member districts, administrative mobilization, and the three-day voting format. Recent primaries and candidate list preparations, including a prominent role for Dmitry Medvedev, signal efforts to refresh the slate while preserving the constitutional majority threshold above 300 seats. Polling trends and historical results point to continued dominance in both proportional and majoritarian components, though economic pressures, turnout variability, and regional outcomes introduce modest uncertainty around the exact total. The market’s clustering around the 325–354 seat range reflects trader assessments of these structural edges and limited space for systemic opposition gains before election day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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