United Russia maintains structural dominance ahead of the September 2026 State Duma and concurrent regional legislative and gubernatorial elections through administrative mobilization, exclusion of non-systemic opposition, and control over electoral processes in most of Russia's 89 regions. Recent regional votes, including 2025 contests, saw United Russia-aligned candidates secure overwhelming majorities or all contested posts via three-day voting and resource advantages. Kremlin adjustments lowering national targets to 45-50 percent reflect efforts to manage perceptions of results rather than anticipated losses, while historical patterns of near-total regional sweeps support trader consensus around a solid but not certain probability of sweeping every region.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоДа
62% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
20 сент. 2026 г.
Да
62% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
20 сент. 2026 г.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Russia party list receives the greatest number of valid votes of any party list in each individual region in the 2026 Russian legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a region means any federal subject of the Russian Federation for which results of the federal party-list vote are separately reported by the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve solely according to the valid votes received by each party list in each region. The number of seats won by any party, including any seats won in single-member constituencies, will have no bearing on resolution.
If the United Russia party list is tied with multiple party lists for the greatest number of valid votes in a region, United Russia will be considered to have received the greatest number of valid votes in that region for the purposes of this market.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia maintains structural dominance ahead of the September 2026 State Duma and concurrent regional legislative and gubernatorial elections through administrative mobilization, exclusion of non-systemic opposition, and control over electoral processes in most of Russia's 89 regions. Recent regional votes, including 2025 contests, saw United Russia-aligned candidates secure overwhelming majorities or all contested posts via three-day voting and resource advantages. Kremlin adjustments lowering national targets to 45-50 percent reflect efforts to manage perceptions of results rather than anticipated losses, while historical patterns of near-total regional sweeps support trader consensus around a solid but not certain probability of sweeping every region.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Russia party list receives the greatest number of valid votes of any party list in each individual region in the 2026 Russian legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a region means any federal subject of the Russian Federation for which results of the federal party-list vote are separately reported by the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve solely according to the valid votes received by each party list in each region. The number of seats won by any party, including any seats won in single-member constituencies, will have no bearing on resolution.
If the United Russia party list is tied with multiple party lists for the greatest number of valid votes in a region, United Russia will be considered to have received the greatest number of valid votes in that region for the purposes of this market.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Russia party list receives the greatest number of valid votes of any party list in each individual region in the 2026 Russian legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a region means any federal subject of the Russian Federation for which results of the federal party-list vote are separately reported by the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve solely according to the valid votes received by each party list in each region. The number of seats won by any party, including any seats won in single-member constituencies, will have no bearing on resolution.
If the United Russia party list is tied with multiple party lists for the greatest number of valid votes in a region, United Russia will be considered to have received the greatest number of valid votes in that region for the purposes of this market.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Открытие рынка: Aug 7, 2026, 9:54 AM ET
Объем
$2,404Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 7, 2026, 9:54 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Russia party list receives the greatest number of valid votes of any party list in each individual region in the 2026 Russian legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a region means any federal subject of the Russian Federation for which results of the federal party-list vote are separately reported by the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve solely according to the valid votes received by each party list in each region. The number of seats won by any party, including any seats won in single-member constituencies, will have no bearing on resolution.
If the United Russia party list is tied with multiple party lists for the greatest number of valid votes in a region, United Russia will be considered to have received the greatest number of valid votes in that region for the purposes of this market.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia maintains structural dominance ahead of the September 2026 State Duma and concurrent regional legislative and gubernatorial elections through administrative mobilization, exclusion of non-systemic opposition, and control over electoral processes in most of Russia's 89 regions. Recent regional votes, including 2025 contests, saw United Russia-aligned candidates secure overwhelming majorities or all contested posts via three-day voting and resource advantages. Kremlin adjustments lowering national targets to 45-50 percent reflect efforts to manage perceptions of results rather than anticipated losses, while historical patterns of near-total regional sweeps support trader consensus around a solid but not certain probability of sweeping every region.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Russia party list receives the greatest number of valid votes of any party list in each individual region in the 2026 Russian legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a region means any federal subject of the Russian Federation for which results of the federal party-list vote are separately reported by the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve solely according to the valid votes received by each party list in each region. The number of seats won by any party, including any seats won in single-member constituencies, will have no bearing on resolution.
If the United Russia party list is tied with multiple party lists for the greatest number of valid votes in a region, United Russia will be considered to have received the greatest number of valid votes in that region for the purposes of this market.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United Russia party list receives the greatest number of valid votes of any party list in each individual region in the 2026 Russian legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, a region means any federal subject of the Russian Federation for which results of the federal party-list vote are separately reported by the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve solely according to the valid votes received by each party list in each region. The number of seats won by any party, including any seats won in single-member constituencies, will have no bearing on resolution.
If the United Russia party list is tied with multiple party lists for the greatest number of valid votes in a region, United Russia will be considered to have received the greatest number of valid votes in that region for the purposes of this market.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Объем
$2,404Дата окончания
20 сент. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 7, 2026, 9:54 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...United Russia maintains structural dominance ahead of the September 2026 State Duma and concurrent regional legislative and gubernatorial elections through administrative mobilization, exclusion of non-systemic opposition, and control over electoral processes in most of Russia's 89 regions. Recent regional votes, including 2025 contests, saw United Russia-aligned candidates secure overwhelming majorities or all contested posts via three-day voting and resource advantages. Kremlin adjustments lowering national targets to 45-50 percent reflect efforts to manage perceptions of results rather than anticipated losses, while historical patterns of near-total regional sweeps support trader consensus around a solid but not certain probability of sweeping every region.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСвязанные
Выиграет ли «Единая Россия» (ЕР) наибольшее количество мест на следующих выборах в Государственную думу?
98%
Да
Получит ли «Единая Россия» (ЕР) наибольшее количество мест на следующих выборах в Государственную Думу?
69%
Да
Получит ли «Единая Россия» от 325 до 339 мест на следующих выборах в Государственную думу России?
29%
Да
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