**In Georgia's 13th congressional district, the July 28, 2026 special election to fill the seat vacated by the April death of longtime Democratic Rep. David Scott featured an all-party ballot with multiple Democratic contenders and limited Republican opposition.** Traders assigned a 93.5% implied probability to an outright winner because the candidate field remained relatively contained, with frontrunners including Marcye Scott and Everton Blair Jr. positioned to consolidate support in a low-turnout contest. Historical patterns in Georgia special elections and the absence of a highly fragmented Democratic primary field supported expectations that one candidate could exceed 50%. The structure—requiring a majority for an immediate win or triggering a runoff between the top two—further aligned with assessments that a decisive first-round result was probable, reflecting trader consensus on these structural and field dynamics rather than any single late development.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель первого тура выборов в Палату представителей GA-13?
Победитель первого тура выборов в Палату представителей GA-13?
Да
94% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Да
94% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-13 House election.**In Georgia's 13th congressional district, the July 28, 2026 special election to fill the seat vacated by the April death of longtime Democratic Rep. David Scott featured an all-party ballot with multiple Democratic contenders and limited Republican opposition.** Traders assigned a 93.5% implied probability to an outright winner because the candidate field remained relatively contained, with frontrunners including Marcye Scott and Everton Blair Jr. positioned to consolidate support in a low-turnout contest. Historical patterns in Georgia special elections and the absence of a highly fragmented Democratic primary field supported expectations that one candidate could exceed 50%. The structure—requiring a majority for an immediate win or triggering a runoff between the top two—further aligned with assessments that a decisive first-round result was probable, reflecting trader consensus on these structural and field dynamics rather than any single late development.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-13 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-13 House election.
Открытие рынка: Aug 14, 2026, 5:18 PM ET
Объем
$321Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 14, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-13 House election.**In Georgia's 13th congressional district, the July 28, 2026 special election to fill the seat vacated by the April death of longtime Democratic Rep. David Scott featured an all-party ballot with multiple Democratic contenders and limited Republican opposition.** Traders assigned a 93.5% implied probability to an outright winner because the candidate field remained relatively contained, with frontrunners including Marcye Scott and Everton Blair Jr. positioned to consolidate support in a low-turnout contest. Historical patterns in Georgia special elections and the absence of a highly fragmented Democratic primary field supported expectations that one candidate could exceed 50%. The structure—requiring a majority for an immediate win or triggering a runoff between the top two—further aligned with assessments that a decisive first-round result was probable, reflecting trader consensus on these structural and field dynamics rather than any single late development.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-13 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-13 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-13 House election.
Объем
$321Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 14, 2026, 5:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**In Georgia's 13th congressional district, the July 28, 2026 special election to fill the seat vacated by the April death of longtime Democratic Rep. David Scott featured an all-party ballot with multiple Democratic contenders and limited Republican opposition.** Traders assigned a 93.5% implied probability to an outright winner because the candidate field remained relatively contained, with frontrunners including Marcye Scott and Everton Blair Jr. positioned to consolidate support in a low-turnout contest. Historical patterns in Georgia special elections and the absence of a highly fragmented Democratic primary field supported expectations that one candidate could exceed 50%. The structure—requiring a majority for an immediate win or triggering a runoff between the top two—further aligned with assessments that a decisive first-round result was probable, reflecting trader consensus on these structural and field dynamics rather than any single late development.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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