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Победитель первого тура выборов в Палату представителей GA-06?

icon for Победитель первого тура выборов в Палату представителей GA-06?

Победитель первого тура выборов в Палату представителей GA-06?

Да

97% вероятность
Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Да

97% вероятность
Polymarket
НОВОЕ
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-06 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-06 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-06 House election.Incumbent Democrat Lucy McBath holds a commanding position in Georgia's 6th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. The Atlanta suburbs and exurbs that make up the district have shown consistent support for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, with McBath advancing unopposed through her party's May 2026 primary and securing 74.7 percent in the prior general. Republican nominee Kevin Martin emerged from his primary but faces structural disadvantages in a seat rated safe Democratic by multiple forecasters. Georgia's majority-vote requirement for House races means an outright winner avoids a runoff; trader consensus at 96.5 percent for "Yes" reflects the district's established partisan lean and historical margins that make a sub-50 percent finish improbable. Late developments such as a major scandal or unexpected national shift remain the primary variables that could alter the outcome.

The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-06 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-06 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.

If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-06 House election.
Объем
$234
Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 14, 2026, 5:19 PM ET
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-06 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-06 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-06 House election.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-06 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-06 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-06 House election.Incumbent Democrat Lucy McBath holds a commanding position in Georgia's 6th congressional district ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. The Atlanta suburbs and exurbs that make up the district have shown consistent support for Democratic candidates in recent cycles, with McBath advancing unopposed through her party's May 2026 primary and securing 74.7 percent in the prior general. Republican nominee Kevin Martin emerged from his primary but faces structural disadvantages in a seat rated safe Democratic by multiple forecasters. Georgia's majority-vote requirement for House races means an outright winner avoids a runoff; trader consensus at 96.5 percent for "Yes" reflects the district's established partisan lean and historical margins that make a sub-50 percent finish improbable. Late developments such as a major scandal or unexpected national shift remain the primary variables that could alter the outcome.

The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-06 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-06 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.

If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-06 House election.
Объем
$234
Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 14, 2026, 5:19 PM ET
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-06 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-06 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-06 House election.

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