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Победитель первого тура выборов в Палату представителей GA-07?

icon for Победитель первого тура выборов в Палату представителей GA-07?

Победитель первого тура выборов в Палату представителей GA-07?

Да

94% вероятность
Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Да

94% вероятность
Polymarket
НОВОЕ
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-07 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-07 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-07 House election.Incumbent Republican Rich McCormick faces Democrat Tony Kozycki in the November 3, 2026, general election for Georgia’s 7th congressional district after both parties completed their nomination processes. McCormick advanced unopposed in the Republican primary, while Kozycki prevailed in the Democratic runoff on June 16 following a fragmented May primary. The solidly Republican district and two-candidate general-election matchup create conditions under which one nominee is expected to secure a majority of the vote on election night. Georgia election rules trigger a runoff only if no candidate reaches 50 percent, a threshold the current candidate field and partisan lean make unlikely to be missed. Trader consensus at 94 percent reflects these resolved primaries, limited vote-splitting risk, and historical performance patterns in comparable districts.

The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-07 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-07 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.

If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-07 House election.
Объем
$234
Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 14, 2026, 5:19 PM ET
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-07 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-07 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-07 House election.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-07 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-07 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-07 House election.Incumbent Republican Rich McCormick faces Democrat Tony Kozycki in the November 3, 2026, general election for Georgia’s 7th congressional district after both parties completed their nomination processes. McCormick advanced unopposed in the Republican primary, while Kozycki prevailed in the Democratic runoff on June 16 following a fragmented May primary. The solidly Republican district and two-candidate general-election matchup create conditions under which one nominee is expected to secure a majority of the vote on election night. Georgia election rules trigger a runoff only if no candidate reaches 50 percent, a threshold the current candidate field and partisan lean make unlikely to be missed. Trader consensus at 94 percent reflects these resolved primaries, limited vote-splitting risk, and historical performance patterns in comparable districts.

The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-07 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-07 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.

If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-07 House election.
Объем
$234
Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 14, 2026, 5:19 PM ET
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-07 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-07 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-07 House election.

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Текущий фаворит для «Победитель первого тура выборов в Палату представителей GA-07?» — «Победитель первого тура на выборах в Палату представителей по округу GA-07?» с 94%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 94%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

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