**Incumbent Andrew Clyde secured a clear majority in the Republican primary for Georgia’s 9th congressional district on May 19, 2026, winning roughly 76% of the vote against challengers Sam Couvillon and Gregg Poole.** This outcome directly supports the 91% implied probability on “Yes” for an outright first-round winner, as Georgia primaries advance the top two candidates to a runoff only if no one reaches 50%. Clyde’s dominant performance eliminated any realistic path to a June 16 runoff. The district’s strong Republican tilt and the absence of competitive Democratic primary dynamics further reinforce trader consensus that the general election in November will feature the already-nominated incumbent. No subsequent developments have altered the primary result, keeping the market pricing aligned with the verified vote totals.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель первого тура выборов в Палату представителей GA-09?
Победитель первого тура выборов в Палату представителей GA-09?
Да
91% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Да
91% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-09 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-09 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-09 House election.**Incumbent Andrew Clyde secured a clear majority in the Republican primary for Georgia’s 9th congressional district on May 19, 2026, winning roughly 76% of the vote against challengers Sam Couvillon and Gregg Poole.**
This outcome directly supports the 91% implied probability on “Yes” for an outright first-round winner, as Georgia primaries advance the top two candidates to a runoff only if no one reaches 50%. Clyde’s dominant performance eliminated any realistic path to a June 16 runoff. The district’s strong Republican tilt and the absence of competitive Democratic primary dynamics further reinforce trader consensus that the general election in November will feature the already-nominated incumbent. No subsequent developments have altered the primary result, keeping the market pricing aligned with the verified vote totals.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-09 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-09 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-09 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-09 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-09 House election.
Открытие рынка: Aug 14, 2026, 5:19 PM ET
Объем
$797Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 14, 2026, 5:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-09 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-09 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-09 House election.**Incumbent Andrew Clyde secured a clear majority in the Republican primary for Georgia’s 9th congressional district on May 19, 2026, winning roughly 76% of the vote against challengers Sam Couvillon and Gregg Poole.**
This outcome directly supports the 91% implied probability on “Yes” for an outright first-round winner, as Georgia primaries advance the top two candidates to a runoff only if no one reaches 50%. Clyde’s dominant performance eliminated any realistic path to a June 16 runoff. The district’s strong Republican tilt and the absence of competitive Democratic primary dynamics further reinforce trader consensus that the general election in November will feature the already-nominated incumbent. No subsequent developments have altered the primary result, keeping the market pricing aligned with the verified vote totals.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-09 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-09 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-09 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-09 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-09 House election.
Объем
$797Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 14, 2026, 5:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Incumbent Andrew Clyde secured a clear majority in the Republican primary for Georgia’s 9th congressional district on May 19, 2026, winning roughly 76% of the vote against challengers Sam Couvillon and Gregg Poole.** This outcome directly supports the 91% implied probability on “Yes” for an outright first-round winner, as Georgia primaries advance the top two candidates to a runoff only if no one reaches 50%. Clyde’s dominant performance eliminated any realistic path to a June 16 runoff. The district’s strong Republican tilt and the absence of competitive Democratic primary dynamics further reinforce trader consensus that the general election in November will feature the already-nominated incumbent. No subsequent developments have altered the primary result, keeping the market pricing aligned with the verified vote totals.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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