Incumbent Democrat Sanford Bishop faces Republican Matt Day in Georgia’s 2nd congressional district on November 3, 2026. The D+4 district has produced consistent Democratic majorities, with Bishop securing 56.3 percent in 2024. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting Bishop’s long tenure, primary unopposed status, and the challenger’s limited fundraising. Georgia requires a 50 percent-plus-one threshold for an outright general-election victory to avoid a December 1 runoff. Traders assign 96 percent probability to an outright winner because the seat’s partisan composition and Bishop’s established support make a sub-50 percent finish improbable absent unforeseen developments such as a late scandal or health event.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель первого тура выборов в Палату представителей GA-02?
Победитель первого тура выборов в Палату представителей GA-02?
Да
96% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Да
96% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-02 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-02 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-02 House election.Incumbent Democrat Sanford Bishop faces Republican Matt Day in Georgia’s 2nd congressional district on November 3, 2026. The D+4 district has produced consistent Democratic majorities, with Bishop securing 56.3 percent in 2024. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting Bishop’s long tenure, primary unopposed status, and the challenger’s limited fundraising. Georgia requires a 50 percent-plus-one threshold for an outright general-election victory to avoid a December 1 runoff. Traders assign 96 percent probability to an outright winner because the seat’s partisan composition and Bishop’s established support make a sub-50 percent finish improbable absent unforeseen developments such as a late scandal or health event.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-02 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-02 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-02 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-02 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-02 House election.
Открытие рынка: Aug 14, 2026, 5:20 PM ET
Объем
$179Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 14, 2026, 5:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-02 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-02 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-02 House election.Incumbent Democrat Sanford Bishop faces Republican Matt Day in Georgia’s 2nd congressional district on November 3, 2026. The D+4 district has produced consistent Democratic majorities, with Bishop securing 56.3 percent in 2024. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting Bishop’s long tenure, primary unopposed status, and the challenger’s limited fundraising. Georgia requires a 50 percent-plus-one threshold for an outright general-election victory to avoid a December 1 runoff. Traders assign 96 percent probability to an outright winner because the seat’s partisan composition and Bishop’s established support make a sub-50 percent finish improbable absent unforeseen developments such as a late scandal or health event.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-02 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-02 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-02 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-02 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-02 House election.
Объем
$179Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 14, 2026, 5:20 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Incumbent Democrat Sanford Bishop faces Republican Matt Day in Georgia’s 2nd congressional district on November 3, 2026. The D+4 district has produced consistent Democratic majorities, with Bishop securing 56.3 percent in 2024. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic, reflecting Bishop’s long tenure, primary unopposed status, and the challenger’s limited fundraising. Georgia requires a 50 percent-plus-one threshold for an outright general-election victory to avoid a December 1 runoff. Traders assign 96 percent probability to an outright winner because the seat’s partisan composition and Bishop’s established support make a sub-50 percent finish improbable absent unforeseen developments such as a late scandal or health event.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы