Rick Allen secured the Republican nomination outright in the May 19, 2026, primary with a decisive margin over limited opposition, while Ceretta Smith advanced as the Democratic nominee after a June 16 runoff. Georgia’s 12th district carries a consistent Republican lean (Cook Political Report R+7 rating) and has delivered comfortable GOP margins in recent cycles. With only the two major-party candidates on the November 3, 2026, general-election ballot, traders assign high probability to one candidate exceeding 50 percent on election night, avoiding a runoff. No late developments have altered the district’s partisan fundamentals or introduced viable third-party or write-in threats that would complicate an outright result.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель первого тура выборов в Палату представителей GA-12?
Победитель первого тура выборов в Палату представителей GA-12?
Да
95% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Да
95% вероятность
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 нояб. 2026 г.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-12 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-12 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-12 House election.Rick Allen secured the Republican nomination outright in the May 19, 2026, primary with a decisive margin over limited opposition, while Ceretta Smith advanced as the Democratic nominee after a June 16 runoff. Georgia’s 12th district carries a consistent Republican lean (Cook Political Report R+7 rating) and has delivered comfortable GOP margins in recent cycles. With only the two major-party candidates on the November 3, 2026, general-election ballot, traders assign high probability to one candidate exceeding 50 percent on election night, avoiding a runoff. No late developments have altered the district’s partisan fundamentals or introduced viable third-party or write-in threats that would complicate an outright result.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-12 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-12 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-12 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-12 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-12 House election.
Открытие рынка: Aug 14, 2026, 5:19 PM ET
Объем
$257Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 14, 2026, 5:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-12 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-12 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-12 House election.Rick Allen secured the Republican nomination outright in the May 19, 2026, primary with a decisive margin over limited opposition, while Ceretta Smith advanced as the Democratic nominee after a June 16 runoff. Georgia’s 12th district carries a consistent Republican lean (Cook Political Report R+7 rating) and has delivered comfortable GOP margins in recent cycles. With only the two major-party candidates on the November 3, 2026, general-election ballot, traders assign high probability to one candidate exceeding 50 percent on election night, avoiding a runoff. No late developments have altered the district’s partisan fundamentals or introduced viable third-party or write-in threats that would complicate an outright result.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-12 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-12 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-12 House election.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-12 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-12 House election.
Объем
$257Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 14, 2026, 5:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Rick Allen secured the Republican nomination outright in the May 19, 2026, primary with a decisive margin over limited opposition, while Ceretta Smith advanced as the Democratic nominee after a June 16 runoff. Georgia’s 12th district carries a consistent Republican lean (Cook Political Report R+7 rating) and has delivered comfortable GOP margins in recent cycles. With only the two major-party candidates on the November 3, 2026, general-election ballot, traders assign high probability to one candidate exceeding 50 percent on election night, avoiding a runoff. No late developments have altered the district’s partisan fundamentals or introduced viable third-party or write-in threats that would complicate an outright result.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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