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Политика·Промежуточные выборы

Победитель первого тура выборов в Палату представителей GA-14?

icon for Победитель первого тура выборов в Палату представителей GA-14?
Политика·Промежуточные выборы

Победитель первого тура выборов в Палату представителей GA-14?

Да

82% вероятность
Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Да

82% вероятность
Polymarket
НОВОЕ
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-14 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-14 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-14 House election.The special election to fill Georgia’s 14th congressional district vacancy after the January 2026 resignation features a nonpartisan “jungle” primary on a single March 10 ballot in a district that has consistently delivered large Republican margins. A fragmented field of roughly 17 candidates, with Republican votes split among more than a dozen contenders while Democratic support concentrated on one, created uncertainty about whether any individual could reach the 50 percent threshold required for an outright win. Trader pricing at 81.5 percent for an outright winner in the first round reflects the strong underlying partisan tilt, historical patterns in similar special elections, and expectations that a leading Republican could consolidate enough support to avoid a runoff under state rules. Recent endorsements and campaign positioning further shaped assessments of vote consolidation ahead of the contest.

The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-14 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-14 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.

If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-14 House election.
Объем
$429
Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 14, 2026, 5:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-14 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-14 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-14 House election.
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-14 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-14 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-14 House election.The special election to fill Georgia’s 14th congressional district vacancy after the January 2026 resignation features a nonpartisan “jungle” primary on a single March 10 ballot in a district that has consistently delivered large Republican margins. A fragmented field of roughly 17 candidates, with Republican votes split among more than a dozen contenders while Democratic support concentrated on one, created uncertainty about whether any individual could reach the 50 percent threshold required for an outright win. Trader pricing at 81.5 percent for an outright winner in the first round reflects the strong underlying partisan tilt, historical patterns in similar special elections, and expectations that a leading Republican could consolidate enough support to avoid a runoff under state rules. Recent endorsements and campaign positioning further shaped assessments of vote consolidation ahead of the contest.

The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-14 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-14 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.

If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-14 House election.
Объем
$429
Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 14, 2026, 5:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The first round of the 2026 midterm GA-14 House election will be held on November 3, 2026. A candidate may win the election “outright” in the first round by winning more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve to “Yes” if any candidate wins the 2026 midterm GA-14 House election outright in the first round. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”. If the results of the first round of the specified election are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the GA-14 House election.

Связанные

icon for Победитель первого тура на выборах в Палату GA-13?

Победитель первого тура на выборах в Палату GA-13?

94%
Да
icon for Победитель первого тура на выборах в Палату представителей по округу GA-07?

Победитель первого тура на выборах в Палату представителей по округу GA-07?

98%
Да
icon for Победитель первого тура на выборах в Палату представителей округа GA-12?

Победитель первого тура на выборах в Палату представителей округа GA-12?

95%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

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«Победитель первого тура выборов в Палату представителей GA-14?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Aug 14, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Победитель первого тура выборов в Палату представителей GA-14?», просмотри 2 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Победитель первого тура выборов в Палату представителей GA-14?» — «Победитель первого тура на выборах в Палату представителей по округу GA-14?» с 82%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 82%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Победитель первого тура выборов в Палату представителей GA-14?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.