Hsu Shu-hua, the incumbent Kuomintang magistrate of Nantou County, holds an 88.5% implied probability in the market, reflecting her strong position ahead of Taiwan’s November 28, 2026 local elections. As the sitting officeholder since 2022 with prior legislative experience in the county, she benefits from name recognition, established local networks, and the structural advantages of incumbency in Taiwanese county races. Wen Shih-cheng trails at 11.5%, consistent with limited reported momentum for major challengers. Candidate registration opens in August 2026, and trader consensus appears anchored in her re-election track record rather than late-breaking shifts, though the multi-candidate field and any party nomination contests could still influence final positioning.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоНОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 июн. 2027 г.
Сюй Шу-хуа
89%
Вэнь Шичэн
12%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
30 июн. 2027 г.
Сюй Шу-хуа
$1,489 Объем
89%
Вэнь Шичэн
$488 Объем
12%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Nantou County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Hsu Shu-hua, the incumbent Kuomintang magistrate of Nantou County, holds an 88.5% implied probability in the market, reflecting her strong position ahead of Taiwan’s November 28, 2026 local elections. As the sitting officeholder since 2022 with prior legislative experience in the county, she benefits from name recognition, established local networks, and the structural advantages of incumbency in Taiwanese county races. Wen Shih-cheng trails at 11.5%, consistent with limited reported momentum for major challengers. Candidate registration opens in August 2026, and trader consensus appears anchored in her re-election track record rather than late-breaking shifts, though the multi-candidate field and any party nomination contests could still influence final positioning.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Nantou County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Nantou County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Открытие рынка: Aug 14, 2026, 8:58 AM ET
Объем
$1,977Дата окончания
28 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 14, 2026, 8:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Nantou County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Hsu Shu-hua, the incumbent Kuomintang magistrate of Nantou County, holds an 88.5% implied probability in the market, reflecting her strong position ahead of Taiwan’s November 28, 2026 local elections. As the sitting officeholder since 2022 with prior legislative experience in the county, she benefits from name recognition, established local networks, and the structural advantages of incumbency in Taiwanese county races. Wen Shih-cheng trails at 11.5%, consistent with limited reported momentum for major challengers. Candidate registration opens in August 2026, and trader consensus appears anchored in her re-election track record rather than late-breaking shifts, though the multi-candidate field and any party nomination contests could still influence final positioning.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Nantou County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Nantou County as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Объем
$1,977Дата окончания
28 нояб. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 14, 2026, 8:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hsu Shu-hua, the incumbent Kuomintang magistrate of Nantou County, holds an 88.5% implied probability in the market, reflecting her strong position ahead of Taiwan’s November 28, 2026 local elections. As the sitting officeholder since 2022 with prior legislative experience in the county, she benefits from name recognition, established local networks, and the structural advantages of incumbency in Taiwanese county races. Wen Shih-cheng trails at 11.5%, consistent with limited reported momentum for major challengers. Candidate registration opens in August 2026, and trader consensus appears anchored in her re-election track record rather than late-breaking shifts, though the multi-candidate field and any party nomination contests could still influence final positioning.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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