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icon for Победитель выборов в Палату представителей MO-02
Выборы·Выборы 4 ноября

Победитель выборов в Палату представителей MO-02

icon for Победитель выборов в Палату представителей MO-02
Выборы·Выборы 4 ноября

Победитель выборов в Палату представителей MO-02

Polymarket
НОВОЕ
Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Республиканская партия

$4,636 Объем

76%

Демократическая партия

$3,833 Объем

24%

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Ann Wagner secured her party's nomination on August 4 with nearly 74% of the primary vote, facing Democratic nominee Fred Wellman in the November 3 general election for Missouri's 2nd congressional district. The seat carries an R+6 partisan lean and has delivered consistent Republican victories, including Wagner's multiple reelections and a Trump margin of roughly 8 points in 2024. Forecasters rate the contest Solid Republican or Safe Republican, reflecting limited crossover potential and the district's suburban and exurban voter base. A single Democratic poll from late May showed a narrow gap before primaries concluded, but subsequent ratings and historical patterns have kept Republican implied probabilities elevated near 76%. The general election timeline leaves room for turnout shifts or late developments to influence the final margin.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$8,469
Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Ann Wagner secured her party's nomination on August 4 with nearly 74% of the primary vote, facing Democratic nominee Fred Wellman in the November 3 general election for Missouri's 2nd congressional district. The seat carries an R+6 partisan lean and has delivered consistent Republican victories, including Wagner's multiple reelections and a Trump margin of roughly 8 points in 2024. Forecasters rate the contest Solid Republican or Safe Republican, reflecting limited crossover potential and the district's suburban and exurban voter base. A single Democratic poll from late May showed a narrow gap before primaries concluded, but subsequent ratings and historical patterns have kept Republican implied probabilities elevated near 76%. The general election timeline leaves room for turnout shifts or late developments to influence the final margin.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.

​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Объем
$8,469
Дата окончания
3 нояб. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET

Кто определяет исход

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

Связанные

icon for Выиграет ли Демократическая партия место в Палате представителей по округу MO-01?

Выиграет ли Демократическая партия место в Палате представителей по округу MO-01?

99%
Да
icon for Выиграет ли Республиканская партия место в Палате представителей по округу МО-06?

Выиграет ли Республиканская партия место в Палате представителей по округу МО-06?

94%
Да
icon for Выиграет ли Республиканская партия место в Палате представителей по округу ME-02?

Выиграет ли Республиканская партия место в Палате представителей по округу ME-02?

56%
Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Победитель выборов в Палату представителей MO-02» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 2 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Республиканская партия» с 76%, за ним следует «Демократическая партия» с 24%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 76¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 76%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Победитель выборов в Палату представителей MO-02» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Jan 28, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Победитель выборов в Палату представителей MO-02», просмотри 2 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Победитель выборов в Палату представителей MO-02» — «Республиканская партия» с 76%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 76%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Демократическая партия» с 24%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Победитель выборов в Палату представителей MO-02» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.