Recent northwest wind flows and mild air advection ahead of an approaching front have driven forecast highs for Wellington on August 26 into the 14–15°C range, aligning with the market's strong consensus on 16°C and 15°C as the leading outcomes. Official guidance from MetService and international models shows mostly cloudy, windy conditions with limited daytime warming, tempered by the region's typical spring transition variability. Recent observations, including a 17°C peak on August 23, have reinforced trader expectations for modestly above-climatological values, while the low probabilities for 17°C or higher reflect limited potential for stronger warming before the system shifts. Updated model runs and surface observations tomorrow morning will be the key near-term catalysts for any adjustments in implied probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 26 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 26 августа?
16°C 61%
15°C 33%
17°C 7%
14°C 1.6%
НОВОЕ
$21,007 Объем
НОВОЕ
$21,007 Объем
26 авг. 2026 г.
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
2%
15°C
33%
16°C
61%
17°C
7%
18°C
2%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 61%
15°C 33%
17°C 7%
14°C 1.6%
НОВОЕ
$21,007 Объем
НОВОЕ
$21,007 Объем
26 авг. 2026 г.
10°C or below
$1,332 Объем
<1%
11°C
$289 Объем
<1%
12°C
$1,333 Объем
<1%
13°C
$239 Объем
<1%
14°C
$1,671 Объем
2%
15°C
$6,457 Объем
33%
16°C
$3,912 Объем
61%
17°C
$3,606 Объем
7%
18°C
$1,648 Объем
2%
19°C
$252 Объем
<1%
20°C or higher
$269 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent northwest wind flows and mild air advection ahead of an approaching front have driven forecast highs for Wellington on August 26 into the 14–15°C range, aligning with the market's strong consensus on 16°C and 15°C as the leading outcomes. Official guidance from MetService and international models shows mostly cloudy, windy conditions with limited daytime warming, tempered by the region's typical spring transition variability. Recent observations, including a 17°C peak on August 23, have reinforced trader expectations for modestly above-climatological values, while the low probabilities for 17°C or higher reflect limited potential for stronger warming before the system shifts. Updated model runs and surface observations tomorrow morning will be the key near-term catalysts for any adjustments in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$21,007Дата окончания
26 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent northwest wind flows and mild air advection ahead of an approaching front have driven forecast highs for Wellington on August 26 into the 14–15°C range, aligning with the market's strong consensus on 16°C and 15°C as the leading outcomes. Official guidance from MetService and international models shows mostly cloudy, windy conditions with limited daytime warming, tempered by the region's typical spring transition variability. Recent observations, including a 17°C peak on August 23, have reinforced trader expectations for modestly above-climatological values, while the low probabilities for 17°C or higher reflect limited potential for stronger warming before the system shifts. Updated model runs and surface observations tomorrow morning will be the key near-term catalysts for any adjustments in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$21,007Дата окончания
26 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent northwest wind flows and mild air advection ahead of an approaching front have driven forecast highs for Wellington on August 26 into the 14–15°C range, aligning with the market's strong consensus on 16°C and 15°C as the leading outcomes. Official guidance from MetService and international models shows mostly cloudy, windy conditions with limited daytime warming, tempered by the region's typical spring transition variability. Recent observations, including a 17°C peak on August 23, have reinforced trader expectations for modestly above-climatological values, while the low probabilities for 17°C or higher reflect limited potential for stronger warming before the system shifts. Updated model runs and surface observations tomorrow morning will be the key near-term catalysts for any adjustments in implied probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы