Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF models indicate maximum temperatures in central Paris on August 24 will likely peak in the 26–28°C range, reflecting a modest rebound after cooler weekend conditions following earlier heat. Key variables include variable cloud cover, potential scattered showers, and boundary-layer mixing that cap daytime warming below seasonal norms near 24–25°C. Trader consensus around 27°C (40.5% implied probability) versus 28°C (31%) stems from slight differences in model runs for peak insolation timing and urban heat-island effects, with lower probabilities assigned to 25°C or 29°C+ outcomes given limited spread in guidance. Official observations from Paris-Montsouris will resolve the market based on the highest 24-hour reading.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Париже 24 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Париже 24 августа?
27°C 41%
28°C 32%
26°C 14%
29°C 10%
НОВОЕ
$16,232 Объем
НОВОЕ
$16,232 Объем
24 авг. 2026 г.
23°C or below
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
4%
26°C
14%
27°C
41%
28°C
32%
29°C
10%
30°C
3%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 41%
28°C 32%
26°C 14%
29°C 10%
НОВОЕ
$16,232 Объем
НОВОЕ
$16,232 Объем
24 авг. 2026 г.
23°C or below
$622 Объем
1%
24°C
$812 Объем
3%
25°C
$1,649 Объем
4%
26°C
$2,280 Объем
14%
27°C
$3,432 Объем
41%
28°C
$2,561 Объем
32%
29°C
$1,980 Объем
10%
30°C
$1,434 Объем
3%
31°C
$676 Объем
<1%
32°C
$606 Объем
<1%
33°C or higher
$180 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF models indicate maximum temperatures in central Paris on August 24 will likely peak in the 26–28°C range, reflecting a modest rebound after cooler weekend conditions following earlier heat. Key variables include variable cloud cover, potential scattered showers, and boundary-layer mixing that cap daytime warming below seasonal norms near 24–25°C. Trader consensus around 27°C (40.5% implied probability) versus 28°C (31%) stems from slight differences in model runs for peak insolation timing and urban heat-island effects, with lower probabilities assigned to 25°C or 29°C+ outcomes given limited spread in guidance. Official observations from Paris-Montsouris will resolve the market based on the highest 24-hour reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 22, 2026, 1:55 AM ET
Объем
$16,232Дата окончания
24 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 22, 2026, 1:55 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF models indicate maximum temperatures in central Paris on August 24 will likely peak in the 26–28°C range, reflecting a modest rebound after cooler weekend conditions following earlier heat. Key variables include variable cloud cover, potential scattered showers, and boundary-layer mixing that cap daytime warming below seasonal norms near 24–25°C. Trader consensus around 27°C (40.5% implied probability) versus 28°C (31%) stems from slight differences in model runs for peak insolation timing and urban heat-island effects, with lower probabilities assigned to 25°C or 29°C+ outcomes given limited spread in guidance. Official observations from Paris-Montsouris will resolve the market based on the highest 24-hour reading.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$16,232Дата окончания
24 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 22, 2026, 1:55 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from Météo-France and ECMWF models indicate maximum temperatures in central Paris on August 24 will likely peak in the 26–28°C range, reflecting a modest rebound after cooler weekend conditions following earlier heat. Key variables include variable cloud cover, potential scattered showers, and boundary-layer mixing that cap daytime warming below seasonal norms near 24–25°C. Trader consensus around 27°C (40.5% implied probability) versus 28°C (31%) stems from slight differences in model runs for peak insolation timing and urban heat-island effects, with lower probabilities assigned to 25°C or 29°C+ outcomes given limited spread in guidance. Official observations from Paris-Montsouris will resolve the market based on the highest 24-hour reading.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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