Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and regional models converge on a daily maximum of 32–33°C in Shenzhen for August 23, 2026, under the influence of a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge combined with monsoon moisture that promotes scattered thunderstorms and cloud cover limiting peak solar heating. This consensus, consistent with climatological August averages near 32°C and recent station observations, underpins the market's strong 93.5% implied probability for 33°C as the highest temperature. Minor model spreads in storm timing or boundary-layer mixing introduce limited uncertainty, while atypical clearing or stronger southerly flow could realistically allow a brief push to 34°C before resolution at the official station cutoff.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Шэньчжэне 23 августа?
33°C 98%
34°C 4%
32°C <1%
35°C or higher <1%
$46,711 Объем
$46,711 Объем
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
98%
34°C
4%
35°C or higher
1%
33°C 98%
34°C 4%
32°C <1%
35°C or higher <1%
$46,711 Объем
$46,711 Объем
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
98%
34°C
4%
35°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 21, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and regional models converge on a daily maximum of 32–33°C in Shenzhen for August 23, 2026, under the influence of a persistent subtropical high-pressure ridge combined with monsoon moisture that promotes scattered thunderstorms and cloud cover limiting peak solar heating. This consensus, consistent with climatological August averages near 32°C and recent station observations, underpins the market's strong 93.5% implied probability for 33°C as the highest temperature. Minor model spreads in storm timing or boundary-layer mixing introduce limited uncertainty, while atypical clearing or stronger southerly flow could realistically allow a brief push to 34°C before resolution at the official station cutoff.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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