Recent forecasts from New Zealand meteorological services highlight northwesterly flow advecting milder maritime air into Wellington, combined with clearing skies that enable sufficient daytime solar heating to reach a maximum of 17°C. This consensus aligns with observed conditions and model runs emphasizing transient warm advection ahead of a frontal shift toward cooler southerlies. Historical August averages near 12–14°C underscore the anomaly, yet trader positioning at 100% implied probability for 17°C reflects high confidence in these dynamics. A faster southerly change or persistent cloud cover reducing insolation could cap the high below this threshold, though current observations limit such scenarios.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 23 августа?
17°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$66,006 Объем
$66,006 Объем
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
100%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
17°C 100.0%
9°C or below <1%
10°C <1%
11°C <1%
$66,006 Объем
$66,006 Объем
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
100%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from New Zealand meteorological services highlight northwesterly flow advecting milder maritime air into Wellington, combined with clearing skies that enable sufficient daytime solar heating to reach a maximum of 17°C. This consensus aligns with observed conditions and model runs emphasizing transient warm advection ahead of a frontal shift toward cooler southerlies. Historical August averages near 12–14°C underscore the anomaly, yet trader positioning at 100% implied probability for 17°C reflects high confidence in these dynamics. A faster southerly change or persistent cloud cover reducing insolation could cap the high below this threshold, though current observations limit such scenarios.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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