Recent meteorological forecasts indicate northwesterly winds advecting milder maritime air into Wellington, supporting daily maximum temperatures near 15°C on August 25. Official guidance from MetService-aligned models and international ensembles shows mostly fine conditions with highs of 14–15°C under building high pressure, slightly above the late-winter climatological average of around 13–14°C. Limited cloud cover and absence of strong southerly cold outbreaks reduce the likelihood of cooler outcomes below 14°C. Trader consensus, with 16°C at 47.5% implied probability, aligns closely with this model agreement while assigning secondary weight to 15°C and 17°C, reflecting typical forecast uncertainty ranges of ±1–2°C within 48 hours of the event. Updated model runs through the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 25 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 25 августа?
16°C 48%
17°C 25%
15°C 22%
18°C 6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
25 авг. 2026 г.
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
1%
14°C
4%
15°C
22%
16°C
48%
17°C
25%
18°C
6%
19°C
4%
20°C or higher
<1%
16°C 48%
17°C 25%
15°C 22%
18°C 6%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
25 авг. 2026 г.
10°C or below
$239 Объем
<1%
11°C
$239 Объем
<1%
12°C
$239 Объем
1%
13°C
$252 Объем
1%
14°C
$274 Объем
4%
15°C
$604 Объем
22%
16°C
$591 Объем
48%
17°C
$498 Объем
25%
18°C
$252 Объем
6%
19°C
$5 Объем
4%
20°C or higher
$269 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts indicate northwesterly winds advecting milder maritime air into Wellington, supporting daily maximum temperatures near 15°C on August 25. Official guidance from MetService-aligned models and international ensembles shows mostly fine conditions with highs of 14–15°C under building high pressure, slightly above the late-winter climatological average of around 13–14°C. Limited cloud cover and absence of strong southerly cold outbreaks reduce the likelihood of cooler outcomes below 14°C. Trader consensus, with 16°C at 47.5% implied probability, aligns closely with this model agreement while assigning secondary weight to 15°C and 17°C, reflecting typical forecast uncertainty ranges of ±1–2°C within 48 hours of the event. Updated model runs through the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$3,461Дата окончания
25 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts indicate northwesterly winds advecting milder maritime air into Wellington, supporting daily maximum temperatures near 15°C on August 25. Official guidance from MetService-aligned models and international ensembles shows mostly fine conditions with highs of 14–15°C under building high pressure, slightly above the late-winter climatological average of around 13–14°C. Limited cloud cover and absence of strong southerly cold outbreaks reduce the likelihood of cooler outcomes below 14°C. Trader consensus, with 16°C at 47.5% implied probability, aligns closely with this model agreement while assigning secondary weight to 15°C and 17°C, reflecting typical forecast uncertainty ranges of ±1–2°C within 48 hours of the event. Updated model runs through the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$3,461Дата окончания
25 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts indicate northwesterly winds advecting milder maritime air into Wellington, supporting daily maximum temperatures near 15°C on August 25. Official guidance from MetService-aligned models and international ensembles shows mostly fine conditions with highs of 14–15°C under building high pressure, slightly above the late-winter climatological average of around 13–14°C. Limited cloud cover and absence of strong southerly cold outbreaks reduce the likelihood of cooler outcomes below 14°C. Trader consensus, with 16°C at 47.5% implied probability, aligns closely with this model agreement while assigning secondary weight to 15°C and 17°C, reflecting typical forecast uncertainty ranges of ±1–2°C within 48 hours of the event. Updated model runs through the next 24 hours will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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