Official forecasts from MetService and the Met Office indicate a daily high of 14–15°C for Wellington on August 24, driven by northwesterly flow advecting milder air ahead of a weak front. This aligns with the market’s 53.5% implied probability on 15°C and 29% on 16°C. August climatology shows average maxima near 13°C, so guidance reflects a modest positive anomaly. Traders factor in model uncertainty typical of Wellington’s orographic and coastal setting, where localized sheltering or brief clearing can shift the peak by about 1°C. No major forecast updates have shifted the outlook in the past day, anchoring sentiment to the 14–16°C range.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 24 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Веллингтоне 24 августа?
15°C 54%
16°C 29%
14°C 10%
17°C 7%
НОВОЕ
$17,203 Объем
НОВОЕ
$17,203 Объем
24 авг. 2026 г.
9°C or below
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
2%
14°C
10%
15°C
54%
16°C
29%
17°C
7%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
<1%
15°C 54%
16°C 29%
14°C 10%
17°C 7%
НОВОЕ
$17,203 Объем
НОВОЕ
$17,203 Объем
24 авг. 2026 г.
9°C or below
$364 Объем
<1%
10°C
$376 Объем
<1%
11°C
$344 Объем
<1%
12°C
$572 Объем
<1%
13°C
$916 Объем
2%
14°C
$2,845 Объем
10%
15°C
$4,417 Объем
54%
16°C
$3,510 Объем
29%
17°C
$2,795 Объем
7%
18°C
$826 Объем
1%
19°C or higher
$385 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from MetService and the Met Office indicate a daily high of 14–15°C for Wellington on August 24, driven by northwesterly flow advecting milder air ahead of a weak front. This aligns with the market’s 53.5% implied probability on 15°C and 29% on 16°C. August climatology shows average maxima near 13°C, so guidance reflects a modest positive anomaly. Traders factor in model uncertainty typical of Wellington’s orographic and coastal setting, where localized sheltering or brief clearing can shift the peak by about 1°C. No major forecast updates have shifted the outlook in the past day, anchoring sentiment to the 14–16°C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$17,203Дата окончания
24 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official forecasts from MetService and the Met Office indicate a daily high of 14–15°C for Wellington on August 24, driven by northwesterly flow advecting milder air ahead of a weak front. This aligns with the market’s 53.5% implied probability on 15°C and 29% on 16°C. August climatology shows average maxima near 13°C, so guidance reflects a modest positive anomaly. Traders factor in model uncertainty typical of Wellington’s orographic and coastal setting, where localized sheltering or brief clearing can shift the peak by about 1°C. No major forecast updates have shifted the outlook in the past day, anchoring sentiment to the 14–16°C range.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$17,203Дата окончания
24 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official forecasts from MetService and the Met Office indicate a daily high of 14–15°C for Wellington on August 24, driven by northwesterly flow advecting milder air ahead of a weak front. This aligns with the market’s 53.5% implied probability on 15°C and 29% on 16°C. August climatology shows average maxima near 13°C, so guidance reflects a modest positive anomaly. Traders factor in model uncertainty typical of Wellington’s orographic and coastal setting, where localized sheltering or brief clearing can shift the peak by about 1°C. No major forecast updates have shifted the outlook in the past day, anchoring sentiment to the 14–16°C range.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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