**Trader consensus strongly favors a 32°C high in Seoul/Incheon on August 23, 2026 (99.1% implied probability), reflecting Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts of a maximum near 31°C under mostly cloudy conditions with light winds.** Late-summer climatology for the region typically features daily highs of 29–32°C as the monsoon influence wanes and daytime heating remains strong, with recent model runs showing minimal deviation from this range. Official observations at Incheon International Airport, the market’s reference station, have aligned closely with these projections through midday, supporting the tight clustering around 32°C. Only an unexpected surge in afternoon insolation or localized urban heat-island effects could realistically push readings to 33°C or higher, while cooler marine air advection remains the primary downside risk.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Сеуле (Инчхон) 23 августа?
32°C 99.0%
33°C 1.1%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
$93,931 Объем
$93,931 Объем
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
99%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
32°C 99.0%
33°C 1.1%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
$93,931 Объем
$93,931 Объем
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
99%
33°C
1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 21, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus strongly favors a 32°C high in Seoul/Incheon on August 23, 2026 (99.1% implied probability), reflecting Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts of a maximum near 31°C under mostly cloudy conditions with light winds.** Late-summer climatology for the region typically features daily highs of 29–32°C as the monsoon influence wanes and daytime heating remains strong, with recent model runs showing minimal deviation from this range. Official observations at Incheon International Airport, the market’s reference station, have aligned closely with these projections through midday, supporting the tight clustering around 32°C. Only an unexpected surge in afternoon insolation or localized urban heat-island effects could realistically push readings to 33°C or higher, while cooler marine air advection remains the primary downside risk.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено


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