Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS indicate a southerly flow advecting milder air into northern France, supporting afternoon maxima near 26–28°C in Paris on August 25, though increasing cloud cover and scattered showers may suppress peaks relative to clear-sky potential. Météo-France guidance and historical August climatology (average high ~24.5°C) align with this range, creating tight market-implied odds between 26°C and 28°C as traders weigh model spread on timing of any convective activity. Updated runs and observational data ahead of the date will refine resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Париже 25 августа?
26°C 33%
27°C 30%
28°C 18%
25°C 10%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
3%
25°C
10%
26°C
33%
27°C
30%
28°C
18%
29°C
9%
30°C
5%
31°C
3%
32°C or higher
3%
26°C 33%
27°C 30%
28°C 18%
25°C 10%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
3%
25°C
10%
26°C
33%
27°C
30%
28°C
18%
29°C
9%
30°C
5%
31°C
3%
32°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpb
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lfpbResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS indicate a southerly flow advecting milder air into northern France, supporting afternoon maxima near 26–28°C in Paris on August 25, though increasing cloud cover and scattered showers may suppress peaks relative to clear-sky potential. Météo-France guidance and historical August climatology (average high ~24.5°C) align with this range, creating tight market-implied odds between 26°C and 28°C as traders weigh model spread on timing of any convective activity. Updated runs and observational data ahead of the date will refine resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы