Hong Kong Observatory forecasts point to a maximum of 31°C on August 24 under a broad low-pressure trough delivering multi-cloudy skies, frequent showers, and squally thunderstorms linked to a tropical cyclone remnant. These conditions sharply reduce solar insolation and enhance convective cooling, limiting daytime heating and positioning 30–31°C as the most probable outcomes. Seasonal outlooks for August–October indicate normal to above-normal temperatures overall, yet short-term model consensus favors suppression near the long-term August average high of 31°C. Trader-implied odds reflect this near-term atmospheric setup, with limited upside risk absent rapid clearing or subsidence.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Гонконге 24 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Гонконге 24 августа?
31°C 40%
30°C 30%
32°C 19%
29°C 8%
НОВОЕ
$15,681 Объем
НОВОЕ
$15,681 Объем
24 авг. 2026 г.
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
8%
30°C
30%
31°C
40%
32°C
19%
33°C
3%
34°C or higher
2%
31°C 40%
30°C 30%
32°C 19%
29°C 8%
НОВОЕ
$15,681 Объем
НОВОЕ
$15,681 Объем
24 авг. 2026 г.
24°C or below
$203 Объем
<1%
25°C
$88 Объем
<1%
26°C
$170 Объем
<1%
27°C
$2,123 Объем
<1%
28°C
$2,394 Объем
1%
29°C
$1,804 Объем
8%
30°C
$2,697 Объем
30%
31°C
$1,994 Объем
40%
32°C
$1,593 Объем
19%
33°C
$1,969 Объем
3%
34°C or higher
$647 Объем
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory forecasts point to a maximum of 31°C on August 24 under a broad low-pressure trough delivering multi-cloudy skies, frequent showers, and squally thunderstorms linked to a tropical cyclone remnant. These conditions sharply reduce solar insolation and enhance convective cooling, limiting daytime heating and positioning 30–31°C as the most probable outcomes. Seasonal outlooks for August–October indicate normal to above-normal temperatures overall, yet short-term model consensus favors suppression near the long-term August average high of 31°C. Trader-implied odds reflect this near-term atmospheric setup, with limited upside risk absent rapid clearing or subsidence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$15,681Дата окончания
24 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory forecasts point to a maximum of 31°C on August 24 under a broad low-pressure trough delivering multi-cloudy skies, frequent showers, and squally thunderstorms linked to a tropical cyclone remnant. These conditions sharply reduce solar insolation and enhance convective cooling, limiting daytime heating and positioning 30–31°C as the most probable outcomes. Seasonal outlooks for August–October indicate normal to above-normal temperatures overall, yet short-term model consensus favors suppression near the long-term August average high of 31°C. Trader-implied odds reflect this near-term atmospheric setup, with limited upside risk absent rapid clearing or subsidence.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$15,681Дата окончания
24 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Hong Kong Observatory forecasts point to a maximum of 31°C on August 24 under a broad low-pressure trough delivering multi-cloudy skies, frequent showers, and squally thunderstorms linked to a tropical cyclone remnant. These conditions sharply reduce solar insolation and enhance convective cooling, limiting daytime heating and positioning 30–31°C as the most probable outcomes. Seasonal outlooks for August–October indicate normal to above-normal temperatures overall, yet short-term model consensus favors suppression near the long-term August average high of 31°C. Trader-implied odds reflect this near-term atmospheric setup, with limited upside risk absent rapid clearing or subsidence.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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