**Increased cloud cover and convective activity from a broad low-pressure trough and nearby tropical systems are capping expected daytime heating in Hong Kong on August 25.** Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance highlights mainly cloudy skies with showers and squally thunderstorms, some heavy, under southerly winds of 4–6, which enhance evaporative cooling, reduce insolation, and favor maximum temperatures near 29–31 °C. Ensemble model spreads and typical August climatology (daily highs ~30–32 °C) align with this range, while the market’s near-even odds between 30 °C and 31 °C reflect residual uncertainty in storm timing and intensity that could allow brief breaks of stronger heating or further suppression. Updated model runs and HKO briefings ahead of the 25th will provide the next key data points for resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Гонконге 25 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Гонконге 25 августа?
31°C 28%
30°C 27%
32°C 22%
29°C 15%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
25 авг. 2026 г.
25°C or below
2%
26°C
7%
27°C
9%
28°C
8%
29°C
18%
30°C
27%
31°C
28%
32°C
22%
33°C
8%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
5%
31°C 28%
30°C 27%
32°C 22%
29°C 15%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
25 авг. 2026 г.
25°C or below
$10 Объем
2%
26°C
$10 Объем
7%
27°C
$45 Объем
9%
28°C
$80 Объем
8%
29°C
$20 Объем
18%
30°C
$27 Объем
27%
31°C
$70 Объем
28%
32°C
$159 Объем
22%
33°C
$296 Объем
8%
34°C
$122 Объем
2%
35°C or higher
$145 Объем
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Increased cloud cover and convective activity from a broad low-pressure trough and nearby tropical systems are capping expected daytime heating in Hong Kong on August 25.** Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance highlights mainly cloudy skies with showers and squally thunderstorms, some heavy, under southerly winds of 4–6, which enhance evaporative cooling, reduce insolation, and favor maximum temperatures near 29–31 °C. Ensemble model spreads and typical August climatology (daily highs ~30–32 °C) align with this range, while the market’s near-even odds between 30 °C and 31 °C reflect residual uncertainty in storm timing and intensity that could allow brief breaks of stronger heating or further suppression. Updated model runs and HKO briefings ahead of the 25th will provide the next key data points for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$984Дата окончания
25 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Increased cloud cover and convective activity from a broad low-pressure trough and nearby tropical systems are capping expected daytime heating in Hong Kong on August 25.** Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance highlights mainly cloudy skies with showers and squally thunderstorms, some heavy, under southerly winds of 4–6, which enhance evaporative cooling, reduce insolation, and favor maximum temperatures near 29–31 °C. Ensemble model spreads and typical August climatology (daily highs ~30–32 °C) align with this range, while the market’s near-even odds between 30 °C and 31 °C reflect residual uncertainty in storm timing and intensity that could allow brief breaks of stronger heating or further suppression. Updated model runs and HKO briefings ahead of the 25th will provide the next key data points for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$984Дата окончания
25 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Increased cloud cover and convective activity from a broad low-pressure trough and nearby tropical systems are capping expected daytime heating in Hong Kong on August 25.** Official Hong Kong Observatory guidance highlights mainly cloudy skies with showers and squally thunderstorms, some heavy, under southerly winds of 4–6, which enhance evaporative cooling, reduce insolation, and favor maximum temperatures near 29–31 °C. Ensemble model spreads and typical August climatology (daily highs ~30–32 °C) align with this range, while the market’s near-even odds between 30 °C and 31 °C reflect residual uncertainty in storm timing and intensity that could allow brief breaks of stronger heating or further suppression. Updated model runs and HKO briefings ahead of the 25th will provide the next key data points for resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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