Traders have converged on a 31°C high for Hong Kong on August 21 with near-certainty, reflecting official Hong Kong Observatory measurements that placed the daily maximum precisely at this level. Persistent subtropical high pressure, light winds, and urban heat-island effects kept temperatures elevated but capped below extreme thresholds, aligning with seasonal climatology for late August. Recent model runs and station data showed minimal diurnal variation, reinforcing the recorded outcome over alternative bins. Only an unexpected post-event data revision or instrument recalibration could alter resolution, though such adjustments remain rare for verified observatory records.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Гонконге 21 августа?
31°C 99.9%
33°C <1%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
$251,181 Объем
$251,181 Объем
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
31°C 99.9%
33°C <1%
24°C or below <1%
25°C <1%
$251,181 Объем
$251,181 Объем
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
100%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Aug 19, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders have converged on a 31°C high for Hong Kong on August 21 with near-certainty, reflecting official Hong Kong Observatory measurements that placed the daily maximum precisely at this level. Persistent subtropical high pressure, light winds, and urban heat-island effects kept temperatures elevated but capped below extreme thresholds, aligning with seasonal climatology for late August. Recent model runs and station data showed minimal diurnal variation, reinforcing the recorded outcome over alternative bins. Only an unexpected post-event data revision or instrument recalibration could alter resolution, though such adjustments remain rare for verified observatory records.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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