Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and DWD highlight moderate uncertainty in afternoon heating for Munich on August 25, with maximum temperatures most likely ranging 20–24°C amid possible scattered showers or increased cloud cover that could suppress peaks. This spread underpins the closely matched market-implied odds favoring 21°C, followed by 23°C or higher and 22°C, as traders weigh subtle differences in predicted instability and wind patterns. Historical August averages near 23°C provide context, yet short-term model variability in surface pressure and moisture advection creates genuine divergence across runs, with updated guidance expected before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Мюнхене 25 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Мюнхене 25 августа?
21°C 27%
23°C or higher 22%
20°C 18%
22°C 17%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
25 авг. 2026 г.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
2%
18°C
3%
19°C
16%
20°C
18%
21°C
27%
22°C
17%
23°C or higher
22%
21°C 27%
23°C or higher 22%
20°C 18%
22°C 17%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
25 авг. 2026 г.
13°C or below
$12 Объем
<1%
14°C
$11 Объем
<1%
15°C
$10 Объем
1%
16°C
$5 Объем
2%
17°C
$5 Объем
2%
18°C
$0 Объем
3%
19°C
$40 Объем
16%
20°C
$22 Объем
18%
21°C
$47 Объем
27%
22°C
$256 Объем
17%
23°C or higher
$136 Объем
22%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and DWD highlight moderate uncertainty in afternoon heating for Munich on August 25, with maximum temperatures most likely ranging 20–24°C amid possible scattered showers or increased cloud cover that could suppress peaks. This spread underpins the closely matched market-implied odds favoring 21°C, followed by 23°C or higher and 22°C, as traders weigh subtle differences in predicted instability and wind patterns. Historical August averages near 23°C provide context, yet short-term model variability in surface pressure and moisture advection creates genuine divergence across runs, with updated guidance expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$544Дата окончания
25 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and DWD highlight moderate uncertainty in afternoon heating for Munich on August 25, with maximum temperatures most likely ranging 20–24°C amid possible scattered showers or increased cloud cover that could suppress peaks. This spread underpins the closely matched market-implied odds favoring 21°C, followed by 23°C or higher and 22°C, as traders weigh subtle differences in predicted instability and wind patterns. Historical August averages near 23°C provide context, yet short-term model variability in surface pressure and moisture advection creates genuine divergence across runs, with updated guidance expected before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$544Дата окончания
25 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and DWD highlight moderate uncertainty in afternoon heating for Munich on August 25, with maximum temperatures most likely ranging 20–24°C amid possible scattered showers or increased cloud cover that could suppress peaks. This spread underpins the closely matched market-implied odds favoring 21°C, followed by 23°C or higher and 22°C, as traders weigh subtle differences in predicted instability and wind patterns. Historical August averages near 23°C provide context, yet short-term model variability in surface pressure and moisture advection creates genuine divergence across runs, with updated guidance expected before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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