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Самая высокая температура в Шанхае 24 августа?

icon for Самая высокая температура в Шанхае 24 августа?

Самая высокая температура в Шанхае 24 августа?

31°C 50%

32°C 37%

33°C 6%

30°C 5%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

$12,206 Объем

31°C 50%

32°C 37%

33°C 6%

30°C 5%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

$12,206 Объем

25°C or below

$206 Объем

<1%

26°C

$206 Объем

<1%

27°C

$144 Объем

<1%

28°C

$596 Объем

<1%

29°C

$884 Объем

1%

30°C

$1,246 Объем

5%

31°C

$3,301 Объем

50%

32°C

$2,636 Объем

37%

33°C

$1,182 Объем

6%

34°C

$1,098 Объем

2%

35°C or higher

$707 Объем

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, converge on a peak temperature of 31–32°C for Shanghai on August 24 under the influence of a strengthening subtropical high, southeast winds of 10–15 km/h, and partly cloudy skies with limited afternoon convection. Light showers or drizzle expected overnight into the morning will increase humidity and suppress maximum values, consistent with recent daily highs of 31–32°C. This pattern aligns with climatological August averages near 31°C and supports the market’s heavy weighting toward 31°C and 32°C outcomes. Official readings from the Xujiahui station will resolve the market after the daily maximum is recorded.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$12,206
Дата окончания
24 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, converge on a peak temperature of 31–32°C for Shanghai on August 24 under the influence of a strengthening subtropical high, southeast winds of 10–15 km/h, and partly cloudy skies with limited afternoon convection. Light showers or drizzle expected overnight into the morning will increase humidity and suppress maximum values, consistent with recent daily highs of 31–32°C. This pattern aligns with climatological August averages near 31°C and supports the market’s heavy weighting toward 31°C and 32°C outcomes. Official readings from the Xujiahui station will resolve the market after the daily maximum is recorded.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$12,206
Дата окончания
24 авг. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET

Источник определения исхода

https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Самая высокая температура в Шанхае 24 августа?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 11 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «31°C» с 50%, за ним следует «32°C» с 37%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 50¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 50%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Самая высокая температура в Шанхае 24 августа?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $12.2K с момента запуска рынка Aug 22, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Самая высокая температура в Шанхае 24 августа?», просмотри 11 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Самая высокая температура в Шанхае 24 августа?» — «31°C» с 50%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 50%. Следующий ближайший исход — «32°C» с 37%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Самая высокая температура в Шанхае 24 августа?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.