Recent forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, converge on a peak temperature of 31–32°C for Shanghai on August 24 under the influence of a strengthening subtropical high, southeast winds of 10–15 km/h, and partly cloudy skies with limited afternoon convection. Light showers or drizzle expected overnight into the morning will increase humidity and suppress maximum values, consistent with recent daily highs of 31–32°C. This pattern aligns with climatological August averages near 31°C and supports the market’s heavy weighting toward 31°C and 32°C outcomes. Official readings from the Xujiahui station will resolve the market after the daily maximum is recorded.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Шанхае 24 августа?
31°C 50%
32°C 37%
33°C 6%
30°C 5%
$12,206 Объем
$12,206 Объем
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
5%
31°C
50%
32°C
37%
33°C
6%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 50%
32°C 37%
33°C 6%
30°C 5%
$12,206 Объем
$12,206 Объем
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
5%
31°C
50%
32°C
37%
33°C
6%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 22, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from multiple models, including ECMWF and GFS runs, converge on a peak temperature of 31–32°C for Shanghai on August 24 under the influence of a strengthening subtropical high, southeast winds of 10–15 km/h, and partly cloudy skies with limited afternoon convection. Light showers or drizzle expected overnight into the morning will increase humidity and suppress maximum values, consistent with recent daily highs of 31–32°C. This pattern aligns with climatological August averages near 31°C and supports the market’s heavy weighting toward 31°C and 32°C outcomes. Official readings from the Xujiahui station will resolve the market after the daily maximum is recorded.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы