Recent forecasts from AEMET and numerical models including GFS and ECMWF indicate Madrid’s August 24 maximum will likely reach 26–28 °C, driven by a shift to southwesterly flow behind an Atlantic front that increases cloud cover and allows only scattered light showers. This contrasts with the clearer, hotter conditions of 33 °C observed on August 23. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around the 27 °C peak, with afternoon temperatures sensitive to exact timing of any thicker cloud bands and boundary-layer moisture. Historical climatology places the late-August average high near 31 °C, underscoring the cooling effect of the current synoptic pattern. Traders appear to weight the latest model runs and official guidance most heavily, as resolution hinges on the verified daily maximum reported by AEMET.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Мадриде 24 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Мадриде 24 августа?
27°C 46%
28°C 30%
26°C 15%
29°C 9%
НОВОЕ
$17,259 Объем
НОВОЕ
$17,259 Объем
24 авг. 2026 г.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
15%
27°C
46%
28°C
30%
29°C
9%
30°C
4%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C или выше
<1%
27°C 46%
28°C 30%
26°C 15%
29°C 9%
НОВОЕ
$17,259 Объем
НОВОЕ
$17,259 Объем
24 авг. 2026 г.
23°C or below
$376 Объем
<1%
24°C
$444 Объем
1%
25°C
$634 Объем
2%
26°C
$2,109 Объем
15%
27°C
$2,329 Объем
46%
28°C
$5,381 Объем
30%
29°C
$3,574 Объем
9%
30°C
$1,400 Объем
4%
31°C
$170 Объем
1%
32°C
$348 Объем
<1%
33°C или выше
$495 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from AEMET and numerical models including GFS and ECMWF indicate Madrid’s August 24 maximum will likely reach 26–28 °C, driven by a shift to southwesterly flow behind an Atlantic front that increases cloud cover and allows only scattered light showers. This contrasts with the clearer, hotter conditions of 33 °C observed on August 23. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around the 27 °C peak, with afternoon temperatures sensitive to exact timing of any thicker cloud bands and boundary-layer moisture. Historical climatology places the late-August average high near 31 °C, underscoring the cooling effect of the current synoptic pattern. Traders appear to weight the latest model runs and official guidance most heavily, as resolution hinges on the verified daily maximum reported by AEMET.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ET
Объем
$17,259Дата окончания
24 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from AEMET and numerical models including GFS and ECMWF indicate Madrid’s August 24 maximum will likely reach 26–28 °C, driven by a shift to southwesterly flow behind an Atlantic front that increases cloud cover and allows only scattered light showers. This contrasts with the clearer, hotter conditions of 33 °C observed on August 23. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around the 27 °C peak, with afternoon temperatures sensitive to exact timing of any thicker cloud bands and boundary-layer moisture. Historical climatology places the late-August average high near 31 °C, underscoring the cooling effect of the current synoptic pattern. Traders appear to weight the latest model runs and official guidance most heavily, as resolution hinges on the verified daily maximum reported by AEMET.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$17,259Дата окончания
24 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 22, 2026, 1:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from AEMET and numerical models including GFS and ECMWF indicate Madrid’s August 24 maximum will likely reach 26–28 °C, driven by a shift to southwesterly flow behind an Atlantic front that increases cloud cover and allows only scattered light showers. This contrasts with the clearer, hotter conditions of 33 °C observed on August 23. Ensemble guidance shows modest spread around the 27 °C peak, with afternoon temperatures sensitive to exact timing of any thicker cloud bands and boundary-layer moisture. Historical climatology places the late-August average high near 31 °C, underscoring the cooling effect of the current synoptic pattern. Traders appear to weight the latest model runs and official guidance most heavily, as resolution hinges on the verified daily maximum reported by AEMET.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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