Forecast models from Spain’s AEMET and the UK Met Office currently project Madrid’s minimum temperature on August 24 in the 17–19°C range, driven by a moderating Atlantic air mass, lighter winds, and increasing cloud cover that limits overnight radiative cooling. This places the 18°C-or-below outcome as the market leader at 55% implied probability, consistent with late-August climatology where typical lows average 16–18°C. Ensemble spread remains narrow but includes warmer members near 19–20°C if clearing skies develop, supporting the secondary 19°C bin at 19%. Traders are monitoring the next AEMET and ECMWF runs for any shifts in the steering pattern ahead of the overnight period.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Мадриде 24 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Мадриде 24 августа?
18°C or below 63%
19°C 19%
20°C 10%
21°C 7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
24 авг. 2026 г.
18°C or below
63%
19°C
19%
20°C
10%
21°C
7%
22°C
3%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
1%
28°C или выше
1%
18°C or below 63%
19°C 19%
20°C 10%
21°C 7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
24 авг. 2026 г.
18°C or below
$0 Объем
63%
19°C
$0 Объем
19%
20°C
$0 Объем
10%
21°C
$165 Объем
7%
22°C
$66 Объем
3%
23°C
$155 Объем
1%
24°C
$150 Объем
1%
25°C
$438 Объем
<1%
26°C
$15 Объем
1%
27°C
$79 Объем
1%
28°C или выше
$156 Объем
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from Spain’s AEMET and the UK Met Office currently project Madrid’s minimum temperature on August 24 in the 17–19°C range, driven by a moderating Atlantic air mass, lighter winds, and increasing cloud cover that limits overnight radiative cooling. This places the 18°C-or-below outcome as the market leader at 55% implied probability, consistent with late-August climatology where typical lows average 16–18°C. Ensemble spread remains narrow but includes warmer members near 19–20°C if clearing skies develop, supporting the secondary 19°C bin at 19%. Traders are monitoring the next AEMET and ECMWF runs for any shifts in the steering pattern ahead of the overnight period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ET
Объем
$1,224Дата окончания
24 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from Spain’s AEMET and the UK Met Office currently project Madrid’s minimum temperature on August 24 in the 17–19°C range, driven by a moderating Atlantic air mass, lighter winds, and increasing cloud cover that limits overnight radiative cooling. This places the 18°C-or-below outcome as the market leader at 55% implied probability, consistent with late-August climatology where typical lows average 16–18°C. Ensemble spread remains narrow but includes warmer members near 19–20°C if clearing skies develop, supporting the secondary 19°C bin at 19%. Traders are monitoring the next AEMET and ECMWF runs for any shifts in the steering pattern ahead of the overnight period.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$1,224Дата окончания
24 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 22, 2026, 2:30 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from Spain’s AEMET and the UK Met Office currently project Madrid’s minimum temperature on August 24 in the 17–19°C range, driven by a moderating Atlantic air mass, lighter winds, and increasing cloud cover that limits overnight radiative cooling. This places the 18°C-or-below outcome as the market leader at 55% implied probability, consistent with late-August climatology where typical lows average 16–18°C. Ensemble spread remains narrow but includes warmer members near 19–20°C if clearing skies develop, supporting the secondary 19°C bin at 19%. Traders are monitoring the next AEMET and ECMWF runs for any shifts in the steering pattern ahead of the overnight period.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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