Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance indicates partly sunny conditions for San Francisco on August 18, with a persistent marine layer and onshore flow moderating coastal highs near 70°F at KSFO. This setup aligns with climatological August norms of 67–70°F, where the cold California Current and stratus clouds limit daytime heating and reduce variance. Trader consensus has concentrated implied probability on the 70–71°F and 72–73°F bins because ensemble forecasts show limited warming potential absent a strong offshore ridge or diminished sea breeze. Minor upward revisions in recent model runs have slightly elevated the 72–73°F share, while sub-68°F outcomes remain possible only if thicker fog lingers longer than expected. Resolution hinges on the official NWS daily maximum at the airport station.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Сан-Франциско 18 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Сан-Франциско 18 августа?
70-71°F 39%
72-73°F 29%
68-69°F 16%
74-75°F 10%
НОВОЕ
$11,635 Объем
НОВОЕ
$11,635 Объем
18 авг. 2026 г.
67°F или ниже
6%
68-69°F
16%
70-71°F
39%
72-73°F
29%
74-75°F
10%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84-85°F
<1%
86°F или выше
<1%
70-71°F 39%
72-73°F 29%
68-69°F 16%
74-75°F 10%
НОВОЕ
$11,635 Объем
НОВОЕ
$11,635 Объем
18 авг. 2026 г.
67°F или ниже
$1,497 Объем
6%
68-69°F
$821 Объем
16%
70-71°F
$2,446 Объем
39%
72-73°F
$972 Объем
29%
74-75°F
$780 Объем
10%
76-77°F
$2,007 Объем
1%
78-79°F
$1,298 Объем
1%
80-81°F
$666 Объем
<1%
82-83°F
$536 Объем
<1%
84-85°F
$502 Объем
<1%
86°F или выше
$110 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance indicates partly sunny conditions for San Francisco on August 18, with a persistent marine layer and onshore flow moderating coastal highs near 70°F at KSFO. This setup aligns with climatological August norms of 67–70°F, where the cold California Current and stratus clouds limit daytime heating and reduce variance. Trader consensus has concentrated implied probability on the 70–71°F and 72–73°F bins because ensemble forecasts show limited warming potential absent a strong offshore ridge or diminished sea breeze. Minor upward revisions in recent model runs have slightly elevated the 72–73°F share, while sub-68°F outcomes remain possible only if thicker fog lingers longer than expected. Resolution hinges on the official NWS daily maximum at the airport station.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 16, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
Объем
$11,635Дата окончания
18 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 16, 2026, 9:57 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance indicates partly sunny conditions for San Francisco on August 18, with a persistent marine layer and onshore flow moderating coastal highs near 70°F at KSFO. This setup aligns with climatological August norms of 67–70°F, where the cold California Current and stratus clouds limit daytime heating and reduce variance. Trader consensus has concentrated implied probability on the 70–71°F and 72–73°F bins because ensemble forecasts show limited warming potential absent a strong offshore ridge or diminished sea breeze. Minor upward revisions in recent model runs have slightly elevated the 72–73°F share, while sub-68°F outcomes remain possible only if thicker fog lingers longer than expected. Resolution hinges on the official NWS daily maximum at the airport station.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$11,635Дата окончания
18 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 16, 2026, 9:57 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance indicates partly sunny conditions for San Francisco on August 18, with a persistent marine layer and onshore flow moderating coastal highs near 70°F at KSFO. This setup aligns with climatological August norms of 67–70°F, where the cold California Current and stratus clouds limit daytime heating and reduce variance. Trader consensus has concentrated implied probability on the 70–71°F and 72–73°F bins because ensemble forecasts show limited warming potential absent a strong offshore ridge or diminished sea breeze. Minor upward revisions in recent model runs have slightly elevated the 72–73°F share, while sub-68°F outcomes remain possible only if thicker fog lingers longer than expected. Resolution hinges on the official NWS daily maximum at the airport station.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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