The near-certain market consensus for a 70–71°F high in San Francisco on August 17 stems from official National Weather Service observations confirming that maximum temperature at key urban stations. Mild onshore flow from the Pacific and a stable marine layer suppressed afternoon warming, consistent with typical late-summer climatology for the area. Recent model analyses and surface data releases aligned precisely with this recorded value, leaving minimal uncertainty once the calendar day ended. Only an unexpected post-event data revision or station-specific anomaly would alter resolution, though historical precedent shows such adjustments are uncommon for daily maxima.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Сан-Франциско 17 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Сан-Франциско 17 августа?
70-71°F 100.0%
61°F или ниже <1%
62-63°F <1%
64-65°F <1%
$27,907 Объем
$27,907 Объем
17 авг. 2026 г.
61°F или ниже
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
100%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80°F или выше
<1%
70-71°F 100.0%
61°F или ниже <1%
62-63°F <1%
64-65°F <1%
$27,907 Объем
$27,907 Объем
17 авг. 2026 г.
61°F или ниже
$1,364 Объем
<1%
62-63°F
$775 Объем
<1%
64-65°F
$1,054 Объем
<1%
66-67°F
$2,215 Объем
<1%
68-69°F
$3,762 Объем
<1%
70-71°F
$6,249 Объем
100%
72-73°F
$5,435 Объем
<1%
74-75°F
$2,878 Объем
<1%
76-77°F
$1,595 Объем
<1%
78-79°F
$1,189 Объем
<1%
80°F или выше
$1,392 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The near-certain market consensus for a 70–71°F high in San Francisco on August 17 stems from official National Weather Service observations confirming that maximum temperature at key urban stations. Mild onshore flow from the Pacific and a stable marine layer suppressed afternoon warming, consistent with typical late-summer climatology for the area. Recent model analyses and surface data releases aligned precisely with this recorded value, leaving minimal uncertainty once the calendar day ended. Only an unexpected post-event data revision or station-specific anomaly would alter resolution, though historical precedent shows such adjustments are uncommon for daily maxima.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 15, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
Объем
$27,907Дата окончания
17 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 15, 2026, 9:57 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The near-certain market consensus for a 70–71°F high in San Francisco on August 17 stems from official National Weather Service observations confirming that maximum temperature at key urban stations. Mild onshore flow from the Pacific and a stable marine layer suppressed afternoon warming, consistent with typical late-summer climatology for the area. Recent model analyses and surface data releases aligned precisely with this recorded value, leaving minimal uncertainty once the calendar day ended. Only an unexpected post-event data revision or station-specific anomaly would alter resolution, though historical precedent shows such adjustments are uncommon for daily maxima.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$27,907Дата окончания
17 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 15, 2026, 9:57 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...The near-certain market consensus for a 70–71°F high in San Francisco on August 17 stems from official National Weather Service observations confirming that maximum temperature at key urban stations. Mild onshore flow from the Pacific and a stable marine layer suppressed afternoon warming, consistent with typical late-summer climatology for the area. Recent model analyses and surface data releases aligned precisely with this recorded value, leaving minimal uncertainty once the calendar day ended. Only an unexpected post-event data revision or station-specific anomaly would alter resolution, though historical precedent shows such adjustments are uncommon for daily maxima.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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