Recent short-range model consensus from sources including the National Weather Service points to an overnight minimum near 70°F in New York City on August 19 under high pressure with light winds and limited cloud cover that moderates radiative cooling. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-August, where average lows hover around 68°F, while current conditions lack strong frontal passages or elevated humidity that could push readings lower or sustain them higher. Trader sentiment, reflected in closely bunched probabilities around 70–73°F, captures residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any late-day cooling, with new National Weather Service forecast discussions and updated model runs expected to refine the range before midnight observations finalize the market outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Нью-Йорке 19 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Нью-Йорке 19 августа?
70-71°F 36%
72-73°F 27%
74-75°F 27%
68-69°F 11%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
19 авг. 2026 г.
61°F или ниже
1%
62-63°F
5%
64-65°F
7%
66-67°F
6%
68-69°F
11%
70-71°F
36%
72-73°F
27%
74-75°F
27%
76-77°F
10%
78-79°F
8%
80°F или выше
1%
70-71°F 36%
72-73°F 27%
74-75°F 27%
68-69°F 11%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
19 авг. 2026 г.
61°F или ниже
$5 Объем
1%
62-63°F
$10 Объем
5%
64-65°F
$10 Объем
7%
66-67°F
$5 Объем
6%
68-69°F
$0 Объем
11%
70-71°F
$0 Объем
36%
72-73°F
$0 Объем
27%
74-75°F
$0 Объем
27%
76-77°F
$0 Объем
10%
78-79°F
$5 Объем
8%
80°F или выше
$5 Объем
1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model consensus from sources including the National Weather Service points to an overnight minimum near 70°F in New York City on August 19 under high pressure with light winds and limited cloud cover that moderates radiative cooling. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-August, where average lows hover around 68°F, while current conditions lack strong frontal passages or elevated humidity that could push readings lower or sustain them higher. Trader sentiment, reflected in closely bunched probabilities around 70–73°F, captures residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any late-day cooling, with new National Weather Service forecast discussions and updated model runs expected to refine the range before midnight observations finalize the market outcome.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 17, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Объем
$40Дата окончания
19 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 9:28 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range model consensus from sources including the National Weather Service points to an overnight minimum near 70°F in New York City on August 19 under high pressure with light winds and limited cloud cover that moderates radiative cooling. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-August, where average lows hover around 68°F, while current conditions lack strong frontal passages or elevated humidity that could push readings lower or sustain them higher. Trader sentiment, reflected in closely bunched probabilities around 70–73°F, captures residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any late-day cooling, with new National Weather Service forecast discussions and updated model runs expected to refine the range before midnight observations finalize the market outcome.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$40Дата окончания
19 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 9:28 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range model consensus from sources including the National Weather Service points to an overnight minimum near 70°F in New York City on August 19 under high pressure with light winds and limited cloud cover that moderates radiative cooling. This aligns with climatological norms for mid-August, where average lows hover around 68°F, while current conditions lack strong frontal passages or elevated humidity that could push readings lower or sustain them higher. Trader sentiment, reflected in closely bunched probabilities around 70–73°F, captures residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and exact timing of any late-day cooling, with new National Weather Service forecast discussions and updated model runs expected to refine the range before midnight observations finalize the market outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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