Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and supporting regional models positioned a daily maximum near 32°C for August 17, 2026, as the most probable outcome, driven by increased cloud cover and scattered showers that suppressed afternoon heating. Typical August climatology shows highs around 31–32°C under humid subtropical conditions, with the Hong Kong Observatory’s seasonal outlook of normal to above-normal temperatures providing broader context amid ongoing climate warming trends. Resolution hinged on the official headquarters station reading, where even modest increases in convective activity or monsoon flow could lower peaks by 1–2°C. Scenarios that could have realistically challenged the 32°C consensus included clearer skies allowing greater solar insolation or delayed thunderstorm development, though model consensus and observed conditions aligned closely with the market-implied outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Гонконге 17 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Гонконге 17 августа?
32°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$172,470 Объем
$172,470 Объем
17 авг. 2026 г.
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$172,470 Объем
$172,470 Объем
17 авг. 2026 г.
28°C or below
$596 Объем
No
29°C
$2,423 Объем
No
30°C
$5,546 Объем
No
31°C
$34,575 Объем
No
32°C
$34,917 Объем
Yes
33°C
$41,892 Объем
No
34°C
$23,442 Объем
No
35°C
$21,065 Объем
No
36°C
$6,483 Объем
No
37°C
$783 Объем
No
38°C or higher
$748 Объем
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and supporting regional models positioned a daily maximum near 32°C for August 17, 2026, as the most probable outcome, driven by increased cloud cover and scattered showers that suppressed afternoon heating. Typical August climatology shows highs around 31–32°C under humid subtropical conditions, with the Hong Kong Observatory’s seasonal outlook of normal to above-normal temperatures providing broader context amid ongoing climate warming trends. Resolution hinged on the official headquarters station reading, where even modest increases in convective activity or monsoon flow could lower peaks by 1–2°C. Scenarios that could have realistically challenged the 32°C consensus included clearer skies allowing greater solar insolation or delayed thunderstorm development, though model consensus and observed conditions aligned closely with the market-implied outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ET
Объем
$172,470Дата окончания
17 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and supporting regional models positioned a daily maximum near 32°C for August 17, 2026, as the most probable outcome, driven by increased cloud cover and scattered showers that suppressed afternoon heating. Typical August climatology shows highs around 31–32°C under humid subtropical conditions, with the Hong Kong Observatory’s seasonal outlook of normal to above-normal temperatures providing broader context amid ongoing climate warming trends. Resolution hinged on the official headquarters station reading, where even modest increases in convective activity or monsoon flow could lower peaks by 1–2°C. Scenarios that could have realistically challenged the 32°C consensus included clearer skies allowing greater solar insolation or delayed thunderstorm development, though model consensus and observed conditions aligned closely with the market-implied outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$172,470Дата окончания
17 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 15, 2026, 4:05 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Спор отсутствует
Окончательный исход: No
Hong Kong Observatory forecasts and supporting regional models positioned a daily maximum near 32°C for August 17, 2026, as the most probable outcome, driven by increased cloud cover and scattered showers that suppressed afternoon heating. Typical August climatology shows highs around 31–32°C under humid subtropical conditions, with the Hong Kong Observatory’s seasonal outlook of normal to above-normal temperatures providing broader context amid ongoing climate warming trends. Resolution hinged on the official headquarters station reading, where even modest increases in convective activity or monsoon flow could lower peaks by 1–2°C. Scenarios that could have realistically challenged the 32°C consensus included clearer skies allowing greater solar insolation or delayed thunderstorm development, though model consensus and observed conditions aligned closely with the market-implied outcome.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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