Latest numerical weather models from the Hong Kong Observatory and global ensembles drive the near-even trader split between 31°C and 32°C outcomes, with showers and persistent cloud cover expected to cap afternoon peaks near these levels on August 19. Typical August subtropical humidity and light easterly flow favor scattered convection that limits full solar heating, while sea-surface temperatures near 29°C provide a modest boost to boundary-layer warmth. These conditions align with climatological norms for the season, where daily maxima average 31–32°C absent strong subsidence or typhoon influences. Updated HKO guidance and afternoon satellite observations tomorrow will refine whether isolated clearing allows a brief 33°C spike or keeps readings suppressed.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Гонконге 19 августа?
31°C 34%
32°C 34%
33°C 14%
30°C 11%
$10,134 Объем
$10,134 Объем
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
4%
30°C
11%
31°C
34%
32°C
34%
33°C
14%
34°C
4%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 34%
32°C 34%
33°C 14%
30°C 11%
$10,134 Объем
$10,134 Объем
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
4%
30°C
11%
31°C
34%
32°C
34%
33°C
14%
34°C
4%
35°C
1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Aug 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather models from the Hong Kong Observatory and global ensembles drive the near-even trader split between 31°C and 32°C outcomes, with showers and persistent cloud cover expected to cap afternoon peaks near these levels on August 19. Typical August subtropical humidity and light easterly flow favor scattered convection that limits full solar heating, while sea-surface temperatures near 29°C provide a modest boost to boundary-layer warmth. These conditions align with climatological norms for the season, where daily maxima average 31–32°C absent strong subsidence or typhoon influences. Updated HKO guidance and afternoon satellite observations tomorrow will refine whether isolated clearing allows a brief 33°C spike or keeps readings suppressed.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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