Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to a hot, mostly sunny pattern with highs in the mid-to-upper 90s for Miami on August 19, driven by light southeast flow, minimal cloud cover early, and suppressed sea-breeze convection. This setup aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on 96–97 °F (44.5 %) and secondary support for 94–95 °F and 98–99 °F, as model consensus has trended warmer amid a multi-day heat episode featuring heat-index values near 110 °F. Afternoon thunderstorm chances remain modest and late, limiting cooling potential. Climatologically, August normals peak near 89–91 °F, so the current anomaly reflects persistent ridging rather than tropical moisture or storm activity, keeping probabilities concentrated in the upper-90s bins until the next model update or morning sounding.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Майами 19 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Майами 19 августа?
96-97°F 46%
94-95°F 26%
98-99°F 11%
92-93°F 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
19 авг. 2026 г.
87°F or below
<1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
4%
92-93°F
5%
94-95°F
26%
96-97°F
46%
98-99°F
11%
100-101°F
3%
102-103°F
2%
104-105°F
<1%
106°F или выше
<1%
96-97°F 46%
94-95°F 26%
98-99°F 11%
92-93°F 5%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
19 авг. 2026 г.
87°F or below
$35 Объем
<1%
88-89°F
$5 Объем
1%
90-91°F
$5 Объем
4%
92-93°F
$97 Объем
5%
94-95°F
$133 Объем
26%
96-97°F
$142 Объем
46%
98-99°F
$285 Объем
11%
100-101°F
$76 Объем
3%
102-103°F
$5 Объем
2%
104-105°F
$97 Объем
<1%
106°F или выше
$102 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to a hot, mostly sunny pattern with highs in the mid-to-upper 90s for Miami on August 19, driven by light southeast flow, minimal cloud cover early, and suppressed sea-breeze convection. This setup aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on 96–97 °F (44.5 %) and secondary support for 94–95 °F and 98–99 °F, as model consensus has trended warmer amid a multi-day heat episode featuring heat-index values near 110 °F. Afternoon thunderstorm chances remain modest and late, limiting cooling potential. Climatologically, August normals peak near 89–91 °F, so the current anomaly reflects persistent ridging rather than tropical moisture or storm activity, keeping probabilities concentrated in the upper-90s bins until the next model update or morning sounding.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 17, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
Объем
$981Дата окончания
19 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 9:56 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to a hot, mostly sunny pattern with highs in the mid-to-upper 90s for Miami on August 19, driven by light southeast flow, minimal cloud cover early, and suppressed sea-breeze convection. This setup aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on 96–97 °F (44.5 %) and secondary support for 94–95 °F and 98–99 °F, as model consensus has trended warmer amid a multi-day heat episode featuring heat-index values near 110 °F. Afternoon thunderstorm chances remain modest and late, limiting cooling potential. Climatologically, August normals peak near 89–91 °F, so the current anomaly reflects persistent ridging rather than tropical moisture or storm activity, keeping probabilities concentrated in the upper-90s bins until the next model update or morning sounding.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$981Дата окончания
19 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 9:56 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance points to a hot, mostly sunny pattern with highs in the mid-to-upper 90s for Miami on August 19, driven by light southeast flow, minimal cloud cover early, and suppressed sea-breeze convection. This setup aligns with the market’s heaviest weighting on 96–97 °F (44.5 %) and secondary support for 94–95 °F and 98–99 °F, as model consensus has trended warmer amid a multi-day heat episode featuring heat-index values near 110 °F. Afternoon thunderstorm chances remain modest and late, limiting cooling potential. Climatologically, August normals peak near 89–91 °F, so the current anomaly reflects persistent ridging rather than tropical moisture or storm activity, keeping probabilities concentrated in the upper-90s bins until the next model update or morning sounding.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы