Forecast models from global ensembles currently cluster maximum temperatures in Chengdu near 24°C on August 18, driven by a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge combined with moderate monsoon moisture that promotes cloud cover and heavy rainfall, limiting afternoon boundary-layer heating. This produces the tight market distribution favoring 23–24°C outcomes, reflecting uncertainty from local Sichuan Basin topography effects and slight variations in model runs for precipitation timing. Typical August highs exceed 30°C, so the cooler pattern represents a notable deviation supported by recent observational trends and ensemble consensus. Traders weigh these dynamics against potential breaks in cloud cover that could push readings higher before daily maximums are recorded.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Чэнду 18 августа?
23°C 56%
24°C 35%
25°C 7%
26°C 2%
$46,702 Объем
$46,702 Объем
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
56%
24°C
35%
25°C
7%
26°C
2%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
23°C 56%
24°C 35%
25°C 7%
26°C 2%
$46,702 Объем
$46,702 Объем
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
56%
24°C
35%
25°C
7%
26°C
2%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from global ensembles currently cluster maximum temperatures in Chengdu near 24°C on August 18, driven by a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge combined with moderate monsoon moisture that promotes cloud cover and heavy rainfall, limiting afternoon boundary-layer heating. This produces the tight market distribution favoring 23–24°C outcomes, reflecting uncertainty from local Sichuan Basin topography effects and slight variations in model runs for precipitation timing. Typical August highs exceed 30°C, so the cooler pattern represents a notable deviation supported by recent observational trends and ensemble consensus. Traders weigh these dynamics against potential breaks in cloud cover that could push readings higher before daily maximums are recorded.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено


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