Official Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts point to a 33°C maximum for Incheon on August 18 under building high pressure and clearing skies following recent monsoon rains, yet trader consensus clusters tightly around 29–30°C. This reflects uncertainty in numerical weather prediction model runs regarding the exact timing of clearing, local wind patterns, and peak solar insolation amid lingering humidity. Scientific factors differentiating the leading outcomes include subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat island intensity across Seoul versus Incheon stations, and possible afternoon cloud cover that could cap daytime highs by 1–2°C. Updated KMA guidance and real-time observations near resolution will likely refine these probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Сеуле (Инчхон) 18 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Сеуле (Инчхон) 18 августа?
29°C 46%
30°C 36%
31°C 8%
28°C 5%
НОВОЕ
$60,570 Объем
НОВОЕ
$60,570 Объем
18 авг. 2026 г.
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
5%
29°C
46%
30°C
36%
31°C
8%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
29°C 46%
30°C 36%
31°C 8%
28°C 5%
НОВОЕ
$60,570 Объем
НОВОЕ
$60,570 Объем
18 авг. 2026 г.
23°C or below
$667 Объем
<1%
24°C
$796 Объем
<1%
25°C
$416 Объем
<1%
26°C
$8,710 Объем
<1%
27°C
$7,256 Объем
<1%
28°C
$16,107 Объем
5%
29°C
$5,039 Объем
46%
30°C
$6,506 Объем
36%
31°C
$7,282 Объем
8%
32°C
$5,341 Объем
1%
33°C or higher
$2,449 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts point to a 33°C maximum for Incheon on August 18 under building high pressure and clearing skies following recent monsoon rains, yet trader consensus clusters tightly around 29–30°C. This reflects uncertainty in numerical weather prediction model runs regarding the exact timing of clearing, local wind patterns, and peak solar insolation amid lingering humidity. Scientific factors differentiating the leading outcomes include subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat island intensity across Seoul versus Incheon stations, and possible afternoon cloud cover that could cap daytime highs by 1–2°C. Updated KMA guidance and real-time observations near resolution will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Объем
$60,570Дата окончания
18 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts point to a 33°C maximum for Incheon on August 18 under building high pressure and clearing skies following recent monsoon rains, yet trader consensus clusters tightly around 29–30°C. This reflects uncertainty in numerical weather prediction model runs regarding the exact timing of clearing, local wind patterns, and peak solar insolation amid lingering humidity. Scientific factors differentiating the leading outcomes include subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat island intensity across Seoul versus Incheon stations, and possible afternoon cloud cover that could cap daytime highs by 1–2°C. Updated KMA guidance and real-time observations near resolution will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$60,570Дата окончания
18 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts point to a 33°C maximum for Incheon on August 18 under building high pressure and clearing skies following recent monsoon rains, yet trader consensus clusters tightly around 29–30°C. This reflects uncertainty in numerical weather prediction model runs regarding the exact timing of clearing, local wind patterns, and peak solar insolation amid lingering humidity. Scientific factors differentiating the leading outcomes include subtle variations in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat island intensity across Seoul versus Incheon stations, and possible afternoon cloud cover that could cap daytime highs by 1–2°C. Updated KMA guidance and real-time observations near resolution will likely refine these probabilities.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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