Latest National Weather Service guidance for August 19, 2026, centers on mostly sunny conditions and light northwest flow under a building high-pressure ridge, favoring afternoon highs near 86–88°F across New York City. Ensemble model spreads from the GFS and ECMWF keep the 86–89°F bins dominant in trader pricing because small differences in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island amplification at Central Park, and dew-point trends can shift the peak by 1–2°F. Above-average seasonal temperatures and a developing El Niño pattern provide background warmth, yet the near-term steering flow and modest humidity limit upside risk above 90°F. Updated model runs and NWS forecast discussions expected later today remain the key near-term catalysts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Нью-Йорке 19 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Нью-Йорке 19 августа?
88-89°F 41%
86-87°F 32%
90-91°F 15%
84-85°F 11%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
19 авг. 2026 г.
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
5%
84-85°F
11%
86-87°F
32%
88-89°F
41%
90-91°F
15%
92-93°F
7%
94°F or higher
4%
88-89°F 41%
86-87°F 32%
90-91°F 15%
84-85°F 11%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
19 авг. 2026 г.
75°F or below
$10 Объем
<1%
76-77°F
$10 Объем
<1%
78-79°F
$5 Объем
<1%
80-81°F
$300 Объем
<1%
82-83°F
$1 Объем
5%
84-85°F
$13 Объем
11%
86-87°F
$25 Объем
32%
88-89°F
$43 Объем
41%
90-91°F
$0 Объем
15%
92-93°F
$171 Объем
7%
94°F or higher
$5 Объем
4%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service guidance for August 19, 2026, centers on mostly sunny conditions and light northwest flow under a building high-pressure ridge, favoring afternoon highs near 86–88°F across New York City. Ensemble model spreads from the GFS and ECMWF keep the 86–89°F bins dominant in trader pricing because small differences in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island amplification at Central Park, and dew-point trends can shift the peak by 1–2°F. Above-average seasonal temperatures and a developing El Niño pattern provide background warmth, yet the near-term steering flow and modest humidity limit upside risk above 90°F. Updated model runs and NWS forecast discussions expected later today remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 17, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
Объем
$583Дата окончания
19 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 9:56 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest National Weather Service guidance for August 19, 2026, centers on mostly sunny conditions and light northwest flow under a building high-pressure ridge, favoring afternoon highs near 86–88°F across New York City. Ensemble model spreads from the GFS and ECMWF keep the 86–89°F bins dominant in trader pricing because small differences in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island amplification at Central Park, and dew-point trends can shift the peak by 1–2°F. Above-average seasonal temperatures and a developing El Niño pattern provide background warmth, yet the near-term steering flow and modest humidity limit upside risk above 90°F. Updated model runs and NWS forecast discussions expected later today remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$583Дата окончания
19 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 9:56 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service guidance for August 19, 2026, centers on mostly sunny conditions and light northwest flow under a building high-pressure ridge, favoring afternoon highs near 86–88°F across New York City. Ensemble model spreads from the GFS and ECMWF keep the 86–89°F bins dominant in trader pricing because small differences in boundary-layer mixing, urban heat-island amplification at Central Park, and dew-point trends can shift the peak by 1–2°F. Above-average seasonal temperatures and a developing El Niño pattern provide background warmth, yet the near-term steering flow and modest humidity limit upside risk above 90°F. Updated model runs and NWS forecast discussions expected later today remain the key near-term catalysts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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