Trader consensus clustering on 84–87°F for New York City’s highest temperature on August 18 reflects narrow forecast uncertainty in National Weather Service guidance for peak afternoon readings. The outcome hinges on the interplay between a moderating sea breeze from the Atlantic, boundary-layer moisture advection, and variable cloud cover that modulates solar insolation. With conditions near mid-August climatological norms, subtle differences in wind direction or dew-point levels can shift the daily maximum across the tightly matched leading bins. Fresh model runs and surface observations throughout the day will further constrain the range before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Нью-Йорке 18 августа?
84-85°F 48%
86-87°F 32%
82-83°F 10%
88-89°F 7%
$25,342 Объем
$25,342 Объем
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
6%
82-83°F
10%
84-85°F
48%
86-87°F
32%
88-89°F
7%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 48%
86-87°F 32%
82-83°F 10%
88-89°F 7%
$25,342 Объем
$25,342 Объем
75°F or below
<1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
6%
82-83°F
10%
84-85°F
48%
86-87°F
32%
88-89°F
7%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 16, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clustering on 84–87°F for New York City’s highest temperature on August 18 reflects narrow forecast uncertainty in National Weather Service guidance for peak afternoon readings. The outcome hinges on the interplay between a moderating sea breeze from the Atlantic, boundary-layer moisture advection, and variable cloud cover that modulates solar insolation. With conditions near mid-August climatological norms, subtle differences in wind direction or dew-point levels can shift the daily maximum across the tightly matched leading bins. Fresh model runs and surface observations throughout the day will further constrain the range before resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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