National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to overnight lows of 72–74°F in New York City on August 18, 2026, under a persistent warm, humid air mass with limited radiational cooling beneath partly cloudy skies. These conditions align with the market’s leading 74–75°F bin at 49% implied probability and the 72–73°F outcome at 31%, both well above the 1991–2020 Central Park climatological average low near 69°F. Minimal frontal activity or clear-sky radiative loss has kept temperatures elevated throughout the recent stretch of above-average August warmth, while ensemble spreads remain narrow. Traders are weighting official guidance on boundary-layer moisture and cloud cover as the dominant near-term controls ahead of final observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая низкая температура в Нью-Йорке 18 августа?
Самая низкая температура в Нью-Йорке 18 августа?
74-75°F 49%
72-73°F 31%
70-71°F 8%
76-77°F 7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
18 авг. 2026 г.
63°F или ниже
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
5%
70-71°F
8%
72-73°F
31%
74-75°F
49%
76-77°F
7%
78-79°F
3%
80–81°F
<1%
82°F или выше
<1%
74-75°F 49%
72-73°F 31%
70-71°F 8%
76-77°F 7%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
18 авг. 2026 г.
63°F или ниже
$150 Объем
<1%
64-65°F
$150 Объем
<1%
66-67°F
$181 Объем
1%
68-69°F
$0 Объем
5%
70-71°F
$154 Объем
8%
72-73°F
$223 Объем
31%
74-75°F
$168 Объем
49%
76-77°F
$1,124 Объем
7%
78-79°F
$624 Объем
3%
80–81°F
$1,028 Объем
<1%
82°F или выше
$421 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to overnight lows of 72–74°F in New York City on August 18, 2026, under a persistent warm, humid air mass with limited radiational cooling beneath partly cloudy skies. These conditions align with the market’s leading 74–75°F bin at 49% implied probability and the 72–73°F outcome at 31%, both well above the 1991–2020 Central Park climatological average low near 69°F. Minimal frontal activity or clear-sky radiative loss has kept temperatures elevated throughout the recent stretch of above-average August warmth, while ensemble spreads remain narrow. Traders are weighting official guidance on boundary-layer moisture and cloud cover as the dominant near-term controls ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 16, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Объем
$4,222Дата окончания
18 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 16, 2026, 9:28 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to overnight lows of 72–74°F in New York City on August 18, 2026, under a persistent warm, humid air mass with limited radiational cooling beneath partly cloudy skies. These conditions align with the market’s leading 74–75°F bin at 49% implied probability and the 72–73°F outcome at 31%, both well above the 1991–2020 Central Park climatological average low near 69°F. Minimal frontal activity or clear-sky radiative loss has kept temperatures elevated throughout the recent stretch of above-average August warmth, while ensemble spreads remain narrow. Traders are weighting official guidance on boundary-layer moisture and cloud cover as the dominant near-term controls ahead of final observations.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$4,222Дата окончания
18 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 16, 2026, 9:28 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts and model consensus point to overnight lows of 72–74°F in New York City on August 18, 2026, under a persistent warm, humid air mass with limited radiational cooling beneath partly cloudy skies. These conditions align with the market’s leading 74–75°F bin at 49% implied probability and the 72–73°F outcome at 31%, both well above the 1991–2020 Central Park climatological average low near 69°F. Minimal frontal activity or clear-sky radiative loss has kept temperatures elevated throughout the recent stretch of above-average August warmth, while ensemble spreads remain narrow. Traders are weighting official guidance on boundary-layer moisture and cloud cover as the dominant near-term controls ahead of final observations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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