Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a highest temperature near 76–81°F for Chicago on August 19, with the closely matched market bins reflecting uncertainty in lake-breeze timing and cloud cover. Lake Michigan's cool waters typically moderate peak readings by several degrees through onshore flow, especially under light southerly winds, while any lingering moisture or partial cloudiness from upstream systems can further suppress daytime maxima relative to clear-sky potential. Historical August normals near 82°F provide context, yet recent model consensus favors values a few degrees below that due to seasonal cooling and variable steering patterns. Updated forecast discussions and next model cycles will likely refine the resolution range ahead of the daily high.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Чикаго 19 августа?
Самая высокая температура в Чикаго 19 августа?
78-79°F 27%
80-81°F 26%
76-77°F 25%
82-83°F 10%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
19 авг. 2026 г.
67°F или ниже
<1%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
6%
76-77°F
25%
78-79°F
27%
80-81°F
26%
82-83°F
10%
84-85°F
7%
86°F или выше
4%
78-79°F 27%
80-81°F 26%
76-77°F 25%
82-83°F 10%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
19 авг. 2026 г.
67°F или ниже
$10 Объем
<1%
68-69°F
$5 Объем
<1%
70-71°F
$0 Объем
1%
72-73°F
$10 Объем
6%
74-75°F
$0 Объем
6%
76-77°F
$95 Объем
25%
78-79°F
$0 Объем
27%
80-81°F
$7 Объем
26%
82-83°F
$18 Объем
10%
84-85°F
$10 Объем
7%
86°F или выше
$5 Объем
4%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a highest temperature near 76–81°F for Chicago on August 19, with the closely matched market bins reflecting uncertainty in lake-breeze timing and cloud cover. Lake Michigan's cool waters typically moderate peak readings by several degrees through onshore flow, especially under light southerly winds, while any lingering moisture or partial cloudiness from upstream systems can further suppress daytime maxima relative to clear-sky potential. Historical August normals near 82°F provide context, yet recent model consensus favors values a few degrees below that due to seasonal cooling and variable steering patterns. Updated forecast discussions and next model cycles will likely refine the resolution range ahead of the daily high.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Открытие рынка: Aug 17, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
Объем
$160Дата окончания
19 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 9:56 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a highest temperature near 76–81°F for Chicago on August 19, with the closely matched market bins reflecting uncertainty in lake-breeze timing and cloud cover. Lake Michigan's cool waters typically moderate peak readings by several degrees through onshore flow, especially under light southerly winds, while any lingering moisture or partial cloudiness from upstream systems can further suppress daytime maxima relative to clear-sky potential. Historical August normals near 82°F provide context, yet recent model consensus favors values a few degrees below that due to seasonal cooling and variable steering patterns. Updated forecast discussions and next model cycles will likely refine the resolution range ahead of the daily high.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Объем
$160Дата окончания
19 авг. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Aug 17, 2026, 9:56 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs indicate a highest temperature near 76–81°F for Chicago on August 19, with the closely matched market bins reflecting uncertainty in lake-breeze timing and cloud cover. Lake Michigan's cool waters typically moderate peak readings by several degrees through onshore flow, especially under light southerly winds, while any lingering moisture or partial cloudiness from upstream systems can further suppress daytime maxima relative to clear-sky potential. Historical August normals near 82°F provide context, yet recent model consensus favors values a few degrees below that due to seasonal cooling and variable steering patterns. Updated forecast discussions and next model cycles will likely refine the resolution range ahead of the daily high.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы